FirstGroupFGROF 75 Peter Lynch Fair Value is $2.44 as of Jul. 07, 2026, which is 328% above its 10-year median of 0.57. GuruFocus rates FGROF with a GF Score™ of 75/100 and a GF Value™ of $2.65. The stock has 3 warning signs investors should review. Among 318 Transportation companies, FirstGroup ranks better than 51.26% on this metric.
Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.
Here, as of today, FirstGroup's PEG is 1. FirstGroup's 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 9.19.
FirstGroup's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026 was $0.27. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is $2.44.
As of today (2026-07-07), FirstGroup's share price is $2.38. FirstGroup's Peter Lynch fair value is $2.44. Therefore, FirstGroup's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 0.98.
The historical rank and industry rank for FirstGroup's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:
FGROF'
s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.37 Med: 0.57 Max: 3.62
Current: 0.91
During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of FirstGroup was 3.62. The lowest was 0.37. And the median was 0.57.
FGROF's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is ranked better than 51.26% of 318
companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 0.93
vs FGROF: 0.91
Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.
FirstGroup (OTCPK:FGROF) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation
Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.
Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.
Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 9.19 instead of 15 in this case.
FirstGroup's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as
Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value
=
Share Price
/
Peter Lynch Fair Value
=
2.38
/
2.44
=
0.98
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
FirstGroup Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms
FirstGroup Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for FirstGroup's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
FGROF vs UNP, CSX, NSC: Peter Lynch Fair Value Comparison
For the Railroads subindustry, FirstGroup's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
FirstGroup Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value vs Transportation Industry
For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, FirstGroup's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where FirstGroup's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.
For company reported semi-annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data. FirstGroup's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026 was $0.27.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.
If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.
If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.
Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.
FirstGroup (FGROF) has a Peter Lynch Fair Value of $2.44 as of Jul. 07, 2026. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on FirstGroup and its competitors. This is 328% above median its historical median of 0.57. Over the past decade, FirstGroup's Peter Lynch Fair Value has ranged from 0.37 to 3.62. According to the industry distribution chart, FirstGroup ranks #155 out of 318 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 48.7%.
Is FirstGroup's Peter Lynch Fair Value too high?
FirstGroup's current Peter Lynch Fair Value of $2.44 is 328% above median its 10-year median of 0.57. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 0.37 to a high of 3.62. The Transportation industry median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 0.93. FirstGroup's value of $2.44 is 162.4% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, FirstGroup ranks #155 out of 318 companies in the Transportation industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, FirstGroup has a GF Score™ of 75/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does FirstGroup's Peter Lynch Fair Value compare to UNP and CSX?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, FirstGroup ranks #155 out of 318 companies for Peter Lynch Fair Value. This puts FirstGroup in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 0.93. FirstGroup's value of $2.44 is 162.4% above this benchmark. Historically, FirstGroup's own Peter Lynch Fair Value has ranged from 0.37 to 3.62 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 0.57 vs. the industry median of 0.93, FirstGroup has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Peter Lynch Fair Value for a Transportation company?
The median Peter Lynch Fair Value among Transportation companies is 0.93, based on 318 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Peter Lynch Fair Value significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Peter Lynch Fair Value should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. FirstGroup's current Peter Lynch Fair Value of $2.44 is 162.4% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Peter Lynch Fair Value mean?
A high Peter Lynch Fair Value can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on FirstGroup and its competitors. For the Transportation industry, the median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 0.93 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. FirstGroup's current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $2.44, which is 328% above median its own 10-year median of 0.57. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is FirstGroup stock overvalued right now?
FirstGroup (FGROF) has a current Peter Lynch Fair Value of $2.44. The stock's GF Value™ is $2.65, compared to a current price of $2.38 — trading 10.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $2.44, which is 328% above median its 10-year median of 0.57 and 162.4% above the Transportation industry median of 0.93. FirstGroup's overall GF Score™ is 75/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Peter Lynch Fair Value calculated?
Peter Lynch Fair Value is calculated from a company's financial statements. For FirstGroup (FGROF), the current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $2.44 as of Jul. 07, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is FirstGroup (FGROF) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, FirstGroup stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of $2.38 is trading 10.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of $2.65.
Key valuation signals for FGROF:
Peter Lynch Fair Value: $2.44 (328% above median its 10-year median of 0.57)
GF Value™: $2.65 vs. price of $2.38 (10.2% below fair value)
Industry Position: 162.4% above the Transportation median (#155 of 318)
No single metric tells the full story. See the FGROF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
FirstGroup PLC is a passenger transportation company domiciled in the United Kingdom. The company organizes itself into segments: Greyhound, First Bus, and First Rail. The Greyhound segment operates intercity coaches in the United States and Canada. First Bus operates buses in the United Kingdom. First Rail operates passenger trains in the United Kingdom. The company derives the majority of its revenue from the United Kingdom.
75GF Score
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