HLT (Hilton Worldwide Holdings) Peter Lynch Fair Value: $212.25 (As of Aug. 08, 2026) — 13506% Above Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc HLT
86 GF Score
Price $317.60
GF Value $297.59
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Hilton Worldwide Holdings Peter Lynch Fair Value?

Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT -1.36% 86 Peter Lynch Fair Value is $212.25 as of Aug. 08, 2026, which is 13506% above its 10-year median of 1.56. GuruFocus rates HLT with a GF Scoreâ„¢ of 86/100 and a GF Valueâ„¢ of $297.59 (Fairly Valued). The stock has 4 warning signs investors should review. Among 184 Travel & Leisure companies, Hilton Worldwide Holdings ranks worse than 73.91% on this metric.

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Here, as of today, Hilton Worldwide Holdings's PEG is 1. Hilton Worldwide Holdings's 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 25. Hilton Worldwide Holdings's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Jun. 2026 was $8.49. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is $212.25.

As of today (2026-08-08), Hilton Worldwide Holdings's share price is $317.60. Hilton Worldwide Holdings's Peter Lynch fair value is $212.25. Therefore, Hilton Worldwide Holdings's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 1.50.


The historical rank and industry rank for Hilton Worldwide Holdings's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:

HLT' s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.49   Med: 1.56   Max: 1.56
Current: 1.5


During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of Hilton Worldwide Holdings was 1.56. The lowest was 1.49. And the median was 1.56.


HLT's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is ranked worse than
73.91% of 184 companies
in the Travel & Leisure industry
Industry Median: 0.935 vs HLT: 1.50

Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.


Hilton Worldwide Holdings  (NYSE:HLT) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 25 instead of 15 in this case.

Hilton Worldwide Holdings's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value=Share Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value
=317.60/212.25
=1.50

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Hilton Worldwide Holdings Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms


Hilton Worldwide Holdings Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Hilton Worldwide Holdings's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Peter Lynch Fair Value Chart

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Peter Lynch Fair Value Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 212.25

HLT vs MAR, H, HTHT: Peter Lynch Fair Value Comparison

For the Lodging subindustry, Hilton Worldwide Holdings's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hilton Worldwide Holdings Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value vs Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Hilton Worldwide Holdings's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hilton Worldwide Holdings's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.


HLT
86GF Score
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc HLT
Peter Lynch Fair Value is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Peter Lynch Fair Value Calculation

Hilton Worldwide Holdings's Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

Peter Lynch Fair Value=PEG Ratio*5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate***EPS without NRI (TTM)
=1* 25 *8.49
=212.25

Hilton Worldwide Holdings's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Jun. 2026 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was $8.49.


* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Peter Lynch Fair Value →
What does a Peter Lynch Fair Value of $212.25 mean?
Hilton Worldwide Holdings (HLT) has a Peter Lynch Fair Value of $212.25 as of Aug. 08, 2026. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on Hilton Worldwide Holdings and its competitors. This is 13506% above median its historical median of 1.56. Over the past decade, Hilton Worldwide Holdings' Peter Lynch Fair Value has ranged from 1.49 to 1.56. According to the industry distribution chart, Hilton Worldwide Holdings ranks #136 out of 184 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, placing it in the top 73.9%.
Is Hilton Worldwide Holdings' Peter Lynch Fair Value too high?
Hilton Worldwide Holdings' current Peter Lynch Fair Value of $212.25 is 13506% above median its 10-year median of 1.56. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.49 to a high of 1.56. The Travel & Leisure industry median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 0.94. Hilton Worldwide Holdings' value of $212.25 is 22600.5% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Hilton Worldwide Holdings ranks #136 out of 184 companies in the Travel & Leisure industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Hilton Worldwide Holdings has a GF Scoreâ„¢ of 86/100 and is considered Fairly Valued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Hilton Worldwide Holdings' Peter Lynch Fair Value compare to MAR and H?
According to the Travel & Leisure industry distribution chart, Hilton Worldwide Holdings ranks #136 out of 184 companies for Peter Lynch Fair Value. This places Hilton Worldwide Holdings in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 0.94. Hilton Worldwide Holdings' value of $212.25 is 22600.5% above this benchmark. Historically, Hilton Worldwide Holdings' own Peter Lynch Fair Value has ranged from 1.49 to 1.56 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 1.56 vs. the industry median of 0.94, Hilton Worldwide Holdings has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Peter Lynch Fair Value for a Travel & Leisure company?
The median Peter Lynch Fair Value among Travel & Leisure companies is 0.94, based on 184 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Peter Lynch Fair Value significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Peter Lynch Fair Value should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Hilton Worldwide Holdings's current Peter Lynch Fair Value of $212.25 is 22600.5% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Peter Lynch Fair Value mean?
A high Peter Lynch Fair Value can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on Hilton Worldwide Holdings and its competitors. For the Travel & Leisure industry, the median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 0.94 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Hilton Worldwide Holdings's current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $212.25, which is 13506% above median its own 10-year median of 1.56. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Hilton Worldwide Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Hilton Worldwide Holdings (HLT) is currently considered Fairly Valued. The stock's GF Value™ is $297.59, compared to a current price of $317.60 — trading 6.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $212.25, which is 13506% above median its 10-year median of 1.56 and 22600.5% above the Travel & Leisure industry median of 0.94. Hilton Worldwide Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 86/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Peter Lynch Fair Value calculated?
Peter Lynch Fair Value is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Hilton Worldwide Holdings (HLT), the current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $212.25 as of Aug. 08, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Hilton Worldwide Holdings (HLT) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Hilton Worldwide Holdings stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $317.60 is trading 6.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of $297.59. GuruFocus considers Hilton Worldwide Holdings to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for HLT:

  • Peter Lynch Fair Value: $212.25 (13506% above median its 10-year median of 1.56)
  • GF Value™: $297.59 vs. price of $317.60 (6.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 86/100 with 4 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 22600.5% above the Travel & Leisure median (#136 of 184)

No single metric tells the full story. See the HLT stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Hilton Worldwide Holdings Business Description

Address 7930 Jones Branch Drive, Suite 1100, McLean, VA, USA, 22102
Hilton Worldwide Holdings operates 1.36 million rooms across its 27 brands, serving the premium economy through luxury segments. Hampton and Hilton are the two largest brands, representing 27% and 18%, respectively, of the company's total rooms, as of Dec. 31, 2025. Recent brands launched over the past few years include Home2, Curio, Canopy, Spark, Tru, Tempo, LivSmart, and Outset. Additionally, there is a partnership with Small Luxury Hotels of the World and acquisitions of NoMad and Graduate Hotels. Managed and franchised hotels represent the vast majority of adjusted EBITDA, predominantly from the Americas.
86GF Score

Get the complete analysis for HLT

Peter Lynch Fair Value is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$317.60
Price
$297.59
GF Value