McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan)MDNDF 74 Peter Lynch Fair Value is $13.98 as of Jul. 08, 2026, which is 464% above its 10-year median of 2.48. GuruFocus rates MDNDF with a GF Score™ of 74/100 and a GF Value™ of $35.83. The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 76 Restaurants companies, McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) ranks worse than 69.74% on this metric.
Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.
Here, as of today, McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan)'s PEG is 1. McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan)'s 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 7.63.
McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan)'s EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2025 was $1.83. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is $13.98.
The historical rank and industry rank for McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan)'s Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:
MDNDF'
s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.36 Med: 2.48 Max: 4.17
Current: 1.63
During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) was 4.17. The lowest was 1.36. And the median was 2.48.
MDNDF's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is ranked worse than 69.74% of 76
companies
in the Restaurants industry
Industry Median: 1.185
vs MDNDF: 1.63
Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.
McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) (OTCPK:MDNDF) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation
Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.
Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.
Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 7.63 instead of 15 in this case.
McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan)'s Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as
Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value
=
Share Price
/
Peter Lynch Fair Value
=
42.00
/
13.98
=
3.00
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms
McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) Peter Lynch Fair Value Chart
MDNDF vs MCD, SBUX, YUM: Peter Lynch Fair Value Comparison
For the Restaurants subindustry, McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan)'s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value vs Restaurants Industry
For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan)'s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan)'s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.
McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan)'s EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Dec. 2025 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was $1.83.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.
If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.
If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.
Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.
What does a Peter Lynch Fair Value of $13.98 mean?
McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) (MDNDF) has a Peter Lynch Fair Value of $13.98 as of Jul. 08, 2026. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) and its competitors. This is 464% above median its historical median of 2.48. Over the past decade, McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan)'s Peter Lynch Fair Value has ranged from 1.36 to 4.17. According to the industry distribution chart, McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) ranks #53 out of 76 companies in the Restaurants industry, placing it in the top 69.7%.
Is McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan)'s Peter Lynch Fair Value too high?
McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan)'s current Peter Lynch Fair Value of $13.98 is 464% above median its 10-year median of 2.48. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.36 to a high of 4.17. The Restaurants industry median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 1.19. McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan)'s value of $13.98 is 1079.7% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) ranks #53 out of 76 companies in the Restaurants industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) has a GF Score™ of 74/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan)'s Peter Lynch Fair Value compare to MCD and SBUX?
According to the Restaurants industry distribution chart, McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) ranks #53 out of 76 companies for Peter Lynch Fair Value. This places McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 1.19. McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan)'s value of $13.98 is 1079.7% above this benchmark. Historically, McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan)'s own Peter Lynch Fair Value has ranged from 1.36 to 4.17 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 2.48 vs. the industry median of 1.19, McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Peter Lynch Fair Value for a Restaurants company?
The median Peter Lynch Fair Value among Restaurants companies is 1.19, based on 76 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Peter Lynch Fair Value significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Peter Lynch Fair Value should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan)'s current Peter Lynch Fair Value of $13.98 is 1079.7% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Peter Lynch Fair Value mean?
A high Peter Lynch Fair Value can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) and its competitors. For the Restaurants industry, the median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 1.19 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan)'s current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $13.98, which is 464% above median its own 10-year median of 2.48. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) stock overvalued right now?
McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) (MDNDF) has a current Peter Lynch Fair Value of $13.98. The stock's GF Value™ is $35.83, compared to a current price of $42.00 — trading 17.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $13.98, which is 464% above median its 10-year median of 2.48 and 1079.7% above the Restaurants industry median of 1.19. McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan)'s overall GF Score™ is 74/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Peter Lynch Fair Value calculated?
Peter Lynch Fair Value is calculated from a company's financial statements. For McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) (MDNDF), the current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $13.98 as of Jul. 08, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) (MDNDF) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $42.00 is trading 17.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of $35.83.
Key valuation signals for MDNDF:
Peter Lynch Fair Value: $13.98 (464% above median its 10-year median of 2.48)
GF Value™: $35.83 vs. price of $42.00 (17.2% above fair value)
Industry Position: 1079.7% above the Restaurants median (#53 of 76)
No single metric tells the full story. See the MDNDF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) Business Description
McDonald's Holdings Co (Japan) Ltd has a license to operate McDonald's fast-food restaurants in Japan. It is engaged in the operation and management of hamburger restaurant chains under the McDonald's brand. The company pays royalties for licensed rights and, in Japan, provides sub-licenses for its know-how and trademarks to franchisees operating its franchise restaurants, from whom it earns royalty income.
74GF Score
Get the complete analysis for MDNDF
Peter Lynch Fair Value is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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