Orica (OCLDF) Peter Lynch Fair Value: $8.22 (As of Jul. 07, 2026) — 250% Above Median


OCLDF Orica Ltd OCLDF
76 GF Score
Price $13.80
GF Value $10.65
! 9 Warning Signs
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What is Orica Peter Lynch Fair Value?

Orica OCLDF 76 Peter Lynch Fair Value is $8.22 as of Jul. 07, 2026, which is 250% above its 10-year median of 2.35. GuruFocus rates OCLDF with a GF Score™ of 76/100 and a GF Value™ of $10.65. The stock has 9 warning signs investors should review. Among 411 Chemicals companies, Orica ranks worse than 57.42% on this metric.

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Here, as of today, Orica's PEG is 1. Orica's 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 11.26. Orica's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026 was $0.73. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is $8.22.

As of today (2026-07-07), Orica's share price is $13.80. Orica's Peter Lynch fair value is $8.22. Therefore, Orica's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 1.68.


The historical rank and industry rank for Orica's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:

OCLDF' s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.41   Med: 2.35   Max: 3.28
Current: 1.6


During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of Orica was 3.28. The lowest was 1.41. And the median was 2.35.


OCLDF's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is ranked worse than
57.42% of 411 companies
in the Chemicals industry
Industry Median: 1.38 vs OCLDF: 1.60

Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.


Orica  (OTCPK:OCLDF) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 11.26 instead of 15 in this case.

Orica's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value=Share Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value
=13.80/8.22
=1.68

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Orica Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms


Orica Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Orica's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Orica Peter Lynch Fair Value Chart

Orica Annual Data
Trend Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23 Sep24 Sep25
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.33 9.85

Orica Semi-Annual Data
Sep16 Mar17 Sep17 Mar18 Sep18 Mar19 Sep19 Mar20 Sep20 Mar21 Sep21 Mar22 Sep22 Mar23 Sep23 Mar24 Sep24 Mar25 Sep25 Mar26
Peter Lynch Fair Value Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 3.33 0.00 9.85 0.00

OCLDF vs LIN, SHW, ECL: Peter Lynch Fair Value Comparison

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, Orica's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Orica Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value vs Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Orica's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Orica's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.


OCLDF
76GF Score
Orica Ltd OCLDF
Peter Lynch Fair Value is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Orica Peter Lynch Fair Value Calculation

Orica's Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

Peter Lynch Fair Value=PEG Ratio*5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate***EPS without NRI (TTM)
=1* 11.26 *0.73
=8.22

For company reported semi-annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data. Orica's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026 was $0.73.


* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Peter Lynch Fair Value →
What does a Peter Lynch Fair Value of $8.22 mean?
Orica (OCLDF) has a Peter Lynch Fair Value of $8.22 as of Jul. 07, 2026. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on Orica and its competitors. This is 250% above median its historical median of 2.35. Over the past decade, Orica's Peter Lynch Fair Value has ranged from 1.41 to 3.28. According to the industry distribution chart, Orica ranks #236 out of 411 companies in the Chemicals industry, placing it in the top 57.4%.
Is Orica's Peter Lynch Fair Value too high?
Orica's current Peter Lynch Fair Value of $8.22 is 250% above median its 10-year median of 2.35. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.41 to a high of 3.28. The Chemicals industry median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 1.38. Orica's value of $8.22 is 495.7% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Orica ranks #236 out of 411 companies in the Chemicals industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Orica has a GF Score™ of 76/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Orica's Peter Lynch Fair Value compare to LIN and SHW?
According to the Chemicals industry distribution chart, Orica ranks #236 out of 411 companies for Peter Lynch Fair Value. This places Orica in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 1.38. Orica's value of $8.22 is 495.7% above this benchmark. Historically, Orica's own Peter Lynch Fair Value has ranged from 1.41 to 3.28 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 2.35 vs. the industry median of 1.38, Orica has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Peter Lynch Fair Value for a Chemicals company?
The median Peter Lynch Fair Value among Chemicals companies is 1.38, based on 411 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Peter Lynch Fair Value significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Peter Lynch Fair Value should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Orica's current Peter Lynch Fair Value of $8.22 is 495.7% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Peter Lynch Fair Value mean?
A high Peter Lynch Fair Value can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on Orica and its competitors. For the Chemicals industry, the median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 1.38 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Orica's current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $8.22, which is 250% above median its own 10-year median of 2.35. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Orica stock overvalued right now?
Orica (OCLDF) has a current Peter Lynch Fair Value of $8.22. The stock's GF Value™ is $10.65, compared to a current price of $13.80 — trading 29.6% above its estimated fair value. The current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $8.22, which is 250% above median its 10-year median of 2.35 and 495.7% above the Chemicals industry median of 1.38. Orica's overall GF Score™ is 76/100 with 9 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Peter Lynch Fair Value calculated?
Peter Lynch Fair Value is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Orica (OCLDF), the current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $8.22 as of Jul. 07, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Orica (OCLDF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Orica stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $13.80 is trading 29.6% above its estimated GF Value™ of $10.65.

Key valuation signals for OCLDF:

  • Peter Lynch Fair Value: $8.22 (250% above median its 10-year median of 2.35)
  • GF Value™: $10.65 vs. price of $13.80 (29.6% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 76/100 with 9 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 495.7% above the Chemicals median (#236 of 411)

No single metric tells the full story. See the OCLDF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Orica Business Description

Address 1 Nicholson Street, Level 3, East Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, AUS, 3002
Orica is a leading global manufacturer and supplier of explosives and chemicals, primarily to the mining industry. It has operations in around 50 countries across six continents. Blasting solutions to the mining industry is the chief earnings engine. Orica has an approximate 28% share of the global commercial explosives market. It provided resins, steel bolts, and other products for underground mining and tunneling though this business is now sold. It also supplies chemicals such as sodium cyanide to the mining industry.
76GF Score

Get the complete analysis for OCLDF

Peter Lynch Fair Value is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$13.80
Price
$10.65
GF Value