Philip Morris InternationalPM +0.25%87 Peter Lynch Fair Value is $44.60 as of Jul. 10, 2026, which is 1044% above its 10-year median of 3.90. GuruFocus rates PM with a GF Scoreâ„¢ of 87/100 and a GF Valueâ„¢ of $143.26 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 14 Tobacco Products companies, Philip Morris International ranks worse than 92.86% on this metric.
Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.
Here, as of today, Philip Morris International's PEG is 1. Philip Morris International's 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 5.71.
Philip Morris International's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026 was $7.81. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is $44.60.
The historical rank and industry rank for Philip Morris International's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:
PM'
s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.71 Med: 3.9 Max: 4.08
Current: 4.07
During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of Philip Morris International was 4.08. The lowest was 3.71. And the median was 3.90.
PM's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is ranked worse than 92.86% of 14
companies
in the Tobacco Products industry
Industry Median: 1.42
vs PM: 4.07
Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.
Philip Morris International (NYSE:PM) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation
Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.
Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.
Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 5.71 instead of 15 in this case.
Philip Morris International's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as
Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value
=
Share Price
/
Peter Lynch Fair Value
=
181.62
/
44.60
=
4.07
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Philip Morris International Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms
Philip Morris International Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Philip Morris International Peter Lynch Fair Value Chart
PM vs MO, TPB, UVV: Peter Lynch Fair Value Comparison
For the Tobacco subindustry, Philip Morris International's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Philip Morris International Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value vs Tobacco Products Industry
For the Tobacco Products industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Philip Morris International's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Philip Morris International's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.
Philip Morris International's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was $7.81.
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.
If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.
If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.
Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.
What does a Peter Lynch Fair Value of $44.60 mean?
Philip Morris International (PM) has a Peter Lynch Fair Value of $44.60 as of Jul. 10, 2026. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on Philip Morris International and its competitors. This is 1044% above median its historical median of 3.90. Over the past decade, Philip Morris International's Peter Lynch Fair Value has ranged from 3.71 to 4.08. According to the industry distribution chart, Philip Morris International ranks #13 out of 14 companies in the Tobacco Products industry, placing it in the top 92.9%.
Is Philip Morris International's Peter Lynch Fair Value too high?
Philip Morris International's current Peter Lynch Fair Value of $44.60 is 1044% above median its 10-year median of 3.90. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 3.71 to a high of 4.08. The Tobacco Products industry median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 1.42. Philip Morris International's value of $44.60 is 3040.8% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Philip Morris International ranks #13 out of 14 companies in the Tobacco Products industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Philip Morris International has a GF Scoreâ„¢ of 87/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Philip Morris International's Peter Lynch Fair Value compare to MO and TPB?
According to the Tobacco Products industry distribution chart, Philip Morris International ranks #13 out of 14 companies for Peter Lynch Fair Value. This places Philip Morris International in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 1.42. Philip Morris International's value of $44.60 is 3040.8% above this benchmark. Historically, Philip Morris International's own Peter Lynch Fair Value has ranged from 3.71 to 4.08 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 3.90 vs. the industry median of 1.42, Philip Morris International has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Peter Lynch Fair Value for a Tobacco Products company?
The median Peter Lynch Fair Value among Tobacco Products companies is 1.42, based on 14 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Peter Lynch Fair Value significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Peter Lynch Fair Value should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Philip Morris International's current Peter Lynch Fair Value of $44.60 is 3040.8% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Peter Lynch Fair Value mean?
A high Peter Lynch Fair Value can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on Philip Morris International and its competitors. For the Tobacco Products industry, the median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 1.42 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Philip Morris International's current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $44.60, which is 1044% above median its own 10-year median of 3.90. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Philip Morris International stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Philip Morris International (PM) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $143.26, compared to a current price of $181.62 — trading 26.8% above its estimated fair value. The current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $44.60, which is 1044% above median its 10-year median of 3.90 and 3040.8% above the Tobacco Products industry median of 1.42. Philip Morris International's overall GF Score™ is 87/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Peter Lynch Fair Value calculated?
Peter Lynch Fair Value is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Philip Morris International (PM), the current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $44.60 as of Jul. 10, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Philip Morris International (PM) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Philip Morris International stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $181.62 is trading 26.8% above its estimated GF Value™ of $143.26.
GuruFocus considers Philip Morris International to be Modestly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for PM:
Peter Lynch Fair Value: $44.60 (1044% above median its 10-year median of 3.90)
GF Value™: $143.26 vs. price of $181.62 (26.8% above fair value)
Industry Position: 3040.8% above the Tobacco Products median (#13 of 14)
No single metric tells the full story. See the PM stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Created from the international operations of Altria in 2008, Philip Morris International sells cigarettes and reduced-risk products, including heat sticks, vapes, and oral nicotine offerings, primarily outside of the US. With the 2023 acquisition of Swedish Match, a leading manufacturer of traditional oral tobacco products and nicotine pouches primarily in the US and Scandinavia, PMI is not only dominant in smokable products but also has the Iqos and Zyn brands, which respectively dominate heated tobacco and nicotine pouches in most markets. It also owns the Veev brand in vapes.
87GF Score
Get the complete analysis for PM
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