National Medical Care Co (SAU:4005) Peter Lynch Fair Value: ﷼158.39 (As of Sep. 11, 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
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SAU:4005 National Medical Care Co SAU:4005
93 GF Score
Price ﷼118.90
GF Value ﷼208.38
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is National Medical Care Co Peter Lynch Fair Value?

National Medical Care Co SAU:4005 +0.59% 93 Peter Lynch Fair Value is ﷼158.39 as of Sep. 11, 2026. GuruFocus rates SAU:4005 with a GF Score™ of 93/100 and a GF Value™ of ﷼208.38 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 164 Healthcare Providers & Services companies, National Medical Care Co ranks better than 76.83% on this metric.

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Here, as of today, National Medical Care Co's PEG is 1. National Medical Care Co's 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 23.64. National Medical Care Co's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Jun. 2026 was ﷼6.70. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is ﷼158.39.

As of today (2026-09-11), National Medical Care Co's share price is ﷼118.90. National Medical Care Co's Peter Lynch fair value is ﷼158.39. Therefore, National Medical Care Co's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is 0.75.


The historical rank and industry rank for National Medical Care Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:

SAU:4005' s Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.65   Med: 1.82   Max: 2.83
Current: 0.75


During the past 13 years, the highest Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio of National Medical Care Co was 2.83. The lowest was 0.65. And the median was 1.82.


SAU:4005's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is ranked better than
76.83% of 164 companies
in the Healthcare Providers & Services industry
Industry Median: 1.335 vs SAU:4005: 0.75

Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.


National Medical Care Co  (SAU:4005) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 23.64 instead of 15 in this case.

National Medical Care Co's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value=Share Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value
=118.90/158.39
=0.75

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


National Medical Care Co Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms


National Medical Care Co Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for National Medical Care Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

National Medical Care Co Peter Lynch Fair Value Chart

National Medical Care Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Peter Lynch Fair Value
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 30.70 77.49 130.94 178.25

National Medical Care Co Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Peter Lynch Fair Value Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 158.79 181.10 178.25 156.36 158.39

SAU:4005 vs HCA, THC, EHC: Peter Lynch Fair Value Comparison

For the Medical Care Facilities subindustry, National Medical Care Co's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


National Medical Care Co Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value vs Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, National Medical Care Co's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where National Medical Care Co's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.


SAU:4005
93GF Score
National Medical Care Co SAU:4005
Peter Lynch Fair Value is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

National Medical Care Co Peter Lynch Fair Value Calculation

National Medical Care Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

Peter Lynch Fair Value=PEG Ratio*5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate***EPS without NRI (TTM)
=1* 23.64 *6.7
=158.39

National Medical Care Co's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Jun. 2026 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was ﷼6.70.


* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Peter Lynch Fair Value →
What does a Peter Lynch Fair Value of ﷼158.39 mean?
National Medical Care Co (SAU:4005) has a Peter Lynch Fair Value of ﷼158.39 as of Sep. 11, 2026. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on National Medical Care Co and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, National Medical Care Co ranks #38 out of 164 companies in the Healthcare Providers & Services industry, placing it in the top 23.2%.
Is National Medical Care Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value too high?
National Medical Care Co's current Peter Lynch Fair Value is ﷼158.39. Based on the distribution chart, National Medical Care Co ranks #38 out of 164 companies in the Healthcare Providers & Services industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, National Medical Care Co has a GF Score™ of 93/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does National Medical Care Co's Peter Lynch Fair Value compare to HCA and THC?
According to the Healthcare Providers & Services industry distribution chart, National Medical Care Co ranks #38 out of 164 companies for Peter Lynch Fair Value. This places National Medical Care Co in the top 23% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 1.34. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Peter Lynch Fair Value for a Healthcare Providers & Services company?
The median Peter Lynch Fair Value among Healthcare Providers & Services companies is 1.34, based on 164 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Peter Lynch Fair Value significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Peter Lynch Fair Value should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Peter Lynch Fair Value mean?
A high Peter Lynch Fair Value can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on National Medical Care Co and its competitors. For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry, the median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 1.34 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. National Medical Care Co's current Peter Lynch Fair Value is ﷼158.39. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is National Medical Care Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, National Medical Care Co (SAU:4005) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is ﷼208.38, compared to a current price of ﷼118.90 — trading 42.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Peter Lynch Fair Value is ﷼158.39. National Medical Care Co's overall GF Score™ is 93/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Peter Lynch Fair Value calculated?
Peter Lynch Fair Value is calculated from a company's financial statements. For National Medical Care Co (SAU:4005), the current Peter Lynch Fair Value is ﷼158.39 as of Sep. 11, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is National Medical Care Co (SAU:4005) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, National Medical Care Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ﷼118.90 is trading 42.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of ﷼208.38. GuruFocus considers National Medical Care Co to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for SAU:4005:

  • Peter Lynch Fair Value: ﷼158.39
  • GF Value™: ﷼208.38 vs. price of ﷼118.90 (42.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 93/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the SAU:4005 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


National Medical Care Co Business Description

Address Al Imam Ahmad Ibn hanbal Street, P.O. Box 29393, Arrayyan District, Riyadh, SAU, 11457
National Medical Care Co is engaged in the business to establish, own, equip, manage, maintain, and operate healthcare facilities and provide home health care services. The company trades medicines, medical equipment, and supplies in wholesale and retail trade. Geographically, all operations are conducted in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company generates revenue through the Rendering of clinical services, and the Sale of pharmaceuticals.
93GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SAU:4005

Peter Lynch Fair Value is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

﷼118.90
Price
﷼208.38
GF Value