National Medical Care Co (SAU:4005) Altman Z-Score: 4.84 (As of Jul. 24, 2026) — 17% Below Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

SAU:4005 National Medical Care Co SAU:4005
94 GF Score
Price ﷼115.00
GF Value ﷼210.40
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 1 Warning Sign
View Full Analysis

What is National Medical Care Co Altman Z-Score?

National Medical Care Co SAU:4005 +5.50% 94 Altman Z-Score is 4.84 as of Jul. 24, 2026, which is 17% below its 10-year median of 5.83. GuruFocus rates SAU:4005 with a GF Score™ of 94/100 and a GF Value™ of ﷼210.40 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 656 Healthcare Providers & Services companies, National Medical Care Co ranks better than 73.32% on this metric.

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Good Sign:

Altman Z-score of 4.7 is strong.

National Medical Care Co has a Altman Z-Score of 4.84, indicating it is in Safe Zones. This implies the Altman Z-Score is strong.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for National Medical Care Co's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

SAU:4005' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.56   Med: 5.83   Max: 10.64
Current: 4.7

During the past 13 years, National Medical Care Co's highest Altman Z-Score was 10.64. The lowest was 2.56. And the median was 5.83.


National Medical Care Co  (SAU:4005) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


National Medical Care Co Altman Z-Score Related Terms


National Medical Care Co Altman Z-Score Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for National Medical Care Co's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

National Medical Care Co Altman Z-Score Chart

National Medical Care Co Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.83 6.40 8.08 7.16 6.39

National Medical Care Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 7.10 7.47 8.11 6.39 5.39

SAU:4005 vs HCA, THC, DVA: Altman Z-Score Comparison

For the Medical Care Facilities subindustry, National Medical Care Co's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


National Medical Care Co Altman Z-Score vs Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, National Medical Care Co's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where National Medical Care Co's Altman Z-Score falls into.


SAU:4005
94GF Score
National Medical Care Co SAU:4005
Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

National Medical Care Co Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

National Medical Care Co's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*0.4131+1.4*0.4912+3.3*0.1118+0.6*4.591+1.0*0.5305
=4.84

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026:
Total Assets was ﷼3,022 Mil.
Total Current Assets was ﷼1,549 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was ﷼300 Mil.
Retained Earnings was ﷼1,484 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was 58.671 + 80.67 + 87.489 + 83.194 = ﷼310 Mil.
Interest Expense was -8.389 + -4.965 + -7.032 + -7.38 = ﷼-28 Mil.
Revenue was 387.992 + 404.756 + 412.413 + 397.872 = ﷼1,603 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was ﷼5,139 Mil.
Total Liabilities was ﷼1,119 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(1548.702 - 300.399)/3021.762
=0.4131

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=1484.282/3021.762
=0.4912

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(310.024 - -27.766)/3021.762
=0.1118

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=5139.350/1119.439
=4.591

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=1603.033/3021.762
=0.5305

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

National Medical Care Co has a Altman Z-Score of 4.84 indicating it is in Safe Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Altman Z-Score →
What does a Altman Z-Score of 4.84 mean?
National Medical Care Co (SAU:4005) has a Altman Z-Score of 4.84 as of Jul. 24, 2026. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on National Medical Care Co and its competitors. This is 17% below median its historical median of 5.83. Over the past decade, National Medical Care Co's Altman Z-Score has ranged from 2.56 to 10.64. According to the industry distribution chart, National Medical Care Co ranks #175 out of 656 companies in the Healthcare Providers & Services industry, placing it in the top 26.7%.
Is National Medical Care Co's Altman Z-Score too high?
National Medical Care Co's current Altman Z-Score of 4.84 is 17% below median its 10-year median of 5.83. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 2.56 to a high of 10.64. The Healthcare Providers & Services industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.45. National Medical Care Co's value of 4.84 is 98% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, National Medical Care Co ranks #175 out of 656 companies in the Healthcare Providers & Services industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, National Medical Care Co has a GF Score™ of 94/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does National Medical Care Co's Altman Z-Score compare to HCA and THC?
According to the Healthcare Providers & Services industry distribution chart, National Medical Care Co ranks #175 out of 656 companies for Altman Z-Score. This puts National Medical Care Co in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Altman Z-Score is 2.45. National Medical Care Co's value of 4.84 is 98% above this benchmark. Historically, National Medical Care Co's own Altman Z-Score has ranged from 2.56 to 10.64 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 5.83 vs. the industry median of 2.45, National Medical Care Co has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Altman Z-Score for a Healthcare Providers & Services company?
The median Altman Z-Score among Healthcare Providers & Services companies is 2.45, based on 656 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Altman Z-Score significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Altman Z-Score should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. National Medical Care Co's current Altman Z-Score of 4.84 is 98% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Altman Z-Score mean?
A high Altman Z-Score can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. The Altman Z-score measures a company's bankruptcy risk. View historical data on National Medical Care Co and its competitors. For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry, the median Altman Z-Score is 2.45 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. National Medical Care Co's current Altman Z-Score is 4.84, which is 17% below median its own 10-year median of 5.83. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is National Medical Care Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, National Medical Care Co (SAU:4005) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is ﷼210.40, compared to a current price of ﷼115.00 — trading 45.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Altman Z-Score is 4.84, which is 17% below median its 10-year median of 5.83 and 98% above the Healthcare Providers & Services industry median of 2.45. National Medical Care Co's overall GF Score™ is 94/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Altman Z-Score calculated?
Altman Z-Score is calculated from a company's financial statements. For National Medical Care Co (SAU:4005), the current Altman Z-Score is 4.84 as of Jul. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is National Medical Care Co (SAU:4005) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, National Medical Care Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ﷼115.00 is trading 45.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of ﷼210.40. GuruFocus considers National Medical Care Co to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for SAU:4005:

  • Altman Z-Score: 4.84 (17% below median its 10-year median of 5.83)
  • GF Value™: ﷼210.40 vs. price of ﷼115.00 (45.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 94/100 with 1 warning sign
  • Industry Position: 98% above the Healthcare Providers & Services median (#175 of 656)

No single metric tells the full story. See the SAU:4005 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


National Medical Care Co Business Description

Address Al Imam Ahmad Ibn hanbal Street, P.O. Box 29393, Arrayyan District, Riyadh, SAU, 11457
National Medical Care Co is engaged in the business to establish, own, equip, manage, maintain, and operate healthcare facilities and provide home health care services. The company trades medicines, medical equipment, and supplies in wholesale and retail trade. Geographically, all operations are conducted in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company generates revenue through the Rendering of clinical services, and the Sale of pharmaceuticals.
94GF Score

Get the complete analysis for SAU:4005

Altman Z-Score is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

﷼115.00
Price
﷼210.40
GF Value