XPeng (XPNGF) Peter Lynch Fair Value: $-3.30 (As of Jul. 24, 2026)

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

XPNGF XPeng Inc XPNGF
70 GF Score
Price $6.37
GF Value $14.13
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is XPeng Peter Lynch Fair Value?

XPeng XPNGF 70 Peter Lynch Fair Value is $-3.30 as of Jul. 24, 2026. GuruFocus rates XPNGF with a GF Score™ of 70/100 and a GF Value™ of $14.13 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 529 Vehicles & Parts companies, XPeng ranks worse than 189035.73% on this metric.

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year. Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years. If 5-Year Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25. If 5-Year Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Here, as of today, XPeng's PEG is 1. XPeng's 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is 21.59. XPeng's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026 was $-0.15. Therefore, the Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is $-3.30.

As of today (2026-07-24), XPeng's share price is $6.365. XPeng's Peter Lynch fair value is $-3.30. Therefore, XPeng's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is N/A.


The historical rank and industry rank for XPeng's Peter Lynch Fair Value or its related term are showing as below:



XPNGF's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value is not ranked *
in the Vehicles & Parts industry.
Industry Median: 0.95
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value only.

Note: Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart.


XPeng  (OTCPK:XPNGF) Peter Lynch Fair Value Explanation

Peter Lynch Fair Value applies to growing companies. The ideal range for the growth rate is between 10 - 20% a year.

Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E value for a growth company equals its growth rate, that is PEG = 1. The earnings here is trailing twelve month (TTM) earnings. For non-bank companies, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for EBITDA per share over the past 5 years. For Banks, the growth rate we use is the average growth rate for Book Value per share over the past 5 years.

Please don't confuse Peter Lynch Fair Value with the value reached in Peter Lynch Chart. In Peter Lynch chart, a fixed P/E ratio of 15 is used to draw the Earnings Line. Therefore the value reached has a P/E ratio of 15. But in Peter Lynch Fair Value calculation, P/E equals to the growth rate of EBITDA per share over the past 5 years, which is 21.59 instead of 15 in this case.

XPeng's Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value Ratio for today is calculated as

Price to Peter Lynch Fair Value=Share Price/Peter Lynch Fair Value
=6.365/-3.30
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


XPeng Peter Lynch Fair Value Related Terms


XPeng Peter Lynch Fair Value Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for XPeng's Peter Lynch Fair Value can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

XPeng Peter Lynch Fair Value Chart

XPeng Annual Data
Trend Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
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XPeng Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Peter Lynch Fair Value Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

XPNGF vs LI, NIO, VFS: Peter Lynch Fair Value Comparison

For the Auto Manufacturers subindustry, XPeng's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


XPeng Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value vs Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, XPeng's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where XPeng's Price-to-Peter-Lynch-Fair-Value falls into.


XPNGF
70GF Score
XPeng Inc XPNGF
Peter Lynch Fair Value is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

XPeng Peter Lynch Fair Value Calculation

XPeng's Peter Lynch Fair Value for today is calculated as

Peter Lynch Fair Value=PEG Ratio*5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate***EPS without NRI (TTM)
=1* 21.59 *-0.153
=-3.30

XPeng's EPS without NRI for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2026 adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months, which was $-0.15.


* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

** Please be aware that the 5-Year TTM EBITDA Growth Rate is calculated based on TTM data over the last 5 years. For quarterly reported companies, the TTM data adds up the quarterly data reported by the company within the most recent 12 months. For companies that report semi-annually, annually, or do not have enough quarterly data, GuruFocus uses the annual data as the TTM data.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is greater than 25% a year, we use 25.

If 5-Year Earnings Growth Rate is smaller than 5% a year, we do not calculate Peter Lynch Fair Value.

Please note that we use the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate for non-bank companies, as EBITDA growth is subject to less manipulations than net earnings per share. For banks, we use the 5-year average growth rate of Book Value per share as the growth rate. The reason is that EBITDA is not applicable to Banks and Book value is a relative important measurement for Banks. In the calculation, PEG=1 because Peter Lynch thinks that the fair P/E ratio of the growth stock is equal to its earnings growth rate.

Frequently Asked Questions Learn more about Peter Lynch Fair Value →
What does a Peter Lynch Fair Value of $-3.30 mean?
XPeng (XPNGF) has a Peter Lynch Fair Value of $-3.30 as of Jul. 24, 2026. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on XPeng and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, XPeng ranks #999999 out of 529 companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry.
Is XPeng's Peter Lynch Fair Value too high?
XPeng's current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $-3.30. Based on the distribution chart, XPeng ranks #999999 out of 529 companies in the Vehicles & Parts industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, XPeng has a GF Score™ of 70/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does XPeng's Peter Lynch Fair Value compare to LI and NIO?
According to the Vehicles & Parts industry distribution chart, XPeng ranks #999999 out of 529 companies for Peter Lynch Fair Value. This places XPeng in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 0.95. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Peter Lynch Fair Value for a Vehicles & Parts company?
The median Peter Lynch Fair Value among Vehicles & Parts companies is 0.95, based on 529 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Peter Lynch Fair Value significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Peter Lynch Fair Value should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Peter Lynch Fair Value mean?
A high Peter Lynch Fair Value can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Peter Lynch Fair Value is the stock value based on a company's current earnings and five-year earnings growth, assuming a PEG of one. View historical data on XPeng and its competitors. For the Vehicles & Parts industry, the median Peter Lynch Fair Value is 0.95 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. XPeng's current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $-3.30. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is XPeng stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, XPeng (XPNGF) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is $14.13, compared to a current price of $6.37 — trading 55% below its estimated fair value. The current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $-3.30. XPeng's overall GF Score™ is 70/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Peter Lynch Fair Value calculated?
Peter Lynch Fair Value is calculated from a company's financial statements. For XPeng (XPNGF), the current Peter Lynch Fair Value is $-3.30 as of Jul. 24, 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is XPeng (XPNGF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, XPeng stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $6.37 is trading 55% below its estimated GF Value™ of $14.13. GuruFocus considers XPeng to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for XPNGF:

  • Peter Lynch Fair Value: $-3.30
  • GF Value™: $14.13 vs. price of $6.37 (55% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 70/100 with 2 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XPNGF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


XPeng Business Description

Address No.10, Cencun Fengzhuang Avenue, Tianhe District, Guangzhou, CHN
Founded in 2015, XPeng is a leading Chinese smart electric vehicle company that designs, develops, manufactures, and markets EVs in China. Its products primarily target the growing base of technology-savvy middle-class consumers in the midrange to high-end segment in China's passenger vehicle market. The company sold about 430,000 EVs in 2025, accounting for about 3% of China's passenger new energy vehicle market. It is also a leader in autonomous driving technology.
70GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XPNGF

Peter Lynch Fair Value is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$6.37
Price
$14.13
GF Value