AAPI (Apple iSports Group) Predictability Rank

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What is Apple iSports Group Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Apple iSports Group Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Apple iSports Group Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Apple iSports Group Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Travel & Leisure » Apple iSports Group Inc (OTCPK:AAPI) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

552 Lonsdale Street, Level 7, Melbourne, VIC, AUS, 3200

Website

https://corporate.appleisports.com

Apple iSports Group Inc is a digital sports entertainment and gaming company that provides users with sports betting and sports streaming solutions, bringing the digital entertainment experience to the hands of sports and racing fans. It is engaged in the development of an online sports engagement portal that will include, racing and sports betting, fantasy sports and sports content. It maintains a provisional Northern Territory Online Bookmaking License in Australia, which allows for racing, sports betting, and fantasy sports throughout Australia and New Zealand.

Executives

Antonio Lococo	director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO/CFO	113 ESPLANADE, ALTONA C3 3018
Copper Hill Assets, Inc.	10 percent owner	GROUND FLOOR COASTAL BUILDING, PO BOX 3169 ROAD TOEN, TORTOLA D8 VG1110
Metroworks Equity Sdn. Bdh.	10 percent owner	UNIT 604, UPTOWN 1, NO. 1, JALAN SS21/58, DAMANSARA, PETALING JAYA, SELANGAOR N8 47400
Chee Chau Ng	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	LEVEL U1 BLOCK D2, UNIT D2-1-1 TO D2-1-9, SOLARIS DUTAMAS, JALAN DUTAMAS 1, KUALA LUMPUR N8 50480
Chee Chow Teow	10 percent owner	K1-G08 KENARI COURT, JALAN PANDAN INDAH 6/1, PANDAH INDAH, KUALA LUMPUR N8 55100
Ee Meng Teow	10 percent owner	K1-G08 KENARI COURT, JALAN PANDAN INDAH 6/1, PANDAH INDAH, KUALA LUMPUR N8 55100
Wooi Huat Teow	10 percent owner	K1-G08 KENARI COURT, JALAN PANDAN INDAH 6/1, PANDAH INDAH, KUALA LUMPUR N8 55100
Alan P Donenfeld	director, 10 percent owner, officer: President and Secretary	C/O PARAGON CAPITAL LP, 110 EAST 59TH STREET, 29TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10022
Paragon Capital Lp	10 percent owner	110 EAST 59TH ST 22ND FL, NEW YORK NY 10022

Apple iSports Group Headlines

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