MicroCloud Hologram (MicroCloud Hologram) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2022. Start your Free Trial

What is MicroCloud Hologram Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

MicroCloud Hologram Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

MicroCloud Hologram Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of MicroCloud Hologram's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

MicroCloud Hologram (MicroCloud Hologram) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » MicroCloud Hologram Inc (NAS:HOLO) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

Yuexing Sixth Road, Zhongkenaneng Building, Room 302, Building A, Nanshan District, Shenzhen, CHN, 518000

Website

MicroCloud Hologram Inc, through its subsidiaries, is mainly engaged in holographic Technology. It includes Holographic solutions, Holographic technology services. The company also provides holographic digital twin technology services for customers and has built a holographic digital twin technology resource library.

Executives

Belief Bi	director	ROOM 302, BUILDING A, ZHONGKENANENG ,, YUEXING SIXTH ROAD, NANSHAN DISTRICT,, SHENZHEN F4 518063
Maggie Wang	director	ROOM 302, BUILDING A, ZHONGKENANENG ,, YUEXING SIXTH ROAD, NANSHAN DISTRICT,, SHENZHEN F4 518063
Guohui Kang	director, officer: CEO	ROOM 302, BUILDING A ZHONGKENANENG, YUEXING SIXTH ROAD, SHENZHEN NANSHAN DISTRICT F4 518063
Wei Peng	director, 10 percent owner	ROOM 302, BUILDING A ZHONGKENANENG, YUEXING SIXTH ROAD, SHENZHEN NANSHAN DISTRICT F4 518063
Tiger Initiative Investment Ltd	10 percent owner	SERTUS CHAMBERS, P.O. BOX 905, QUASTISKY BUILDING, ROAD TOWN, TORTOLA D8 VG1110
Bei Zhen	officer: CFO	GOVERNORS SQUARE, SUITE #5-204, ,23 LIME TREE BAY AVENUE, P.O. BOX 2547, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-1104
Mi Zhou	director	GOVERNORS SQUARE, SUITE #5-204, 23 LIME TREE BAY AVENUE, P.O. BOX 2547, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-1104
Best Road Holdings Ltd	10 percent owner	SERTUS CHAMBERS, P.O. BOX 905, QUASTISKY BUILDING, ROAD TOWN, TORTOLA D8 VG1110
Han Qin	director	GOVERNORS SQUARE, SUITE #5-204, 23 LIME TREE BAY AVENUE, P.O. BOX 2547, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-1104
Jianbo Zhou	officer: CTO	ROOM 302, BUILDING A ZHONGKENANENG, YUEXING SIXTH ROAD, SHENZHEN NANSHAN DISTRICT F4 518063
Guolong Qi	officer: COO	ROOM 302, BUILDING A ZHONGKENANENG, YUEXING SIXTH ROAD, SHENZHEN NANSHAN DISTRICT F4 518063
Greenland Asset Management Corp	10 percent owner	WEST WING, YONGDA INTERNATIONAL TOWER, NO. 2277 LONGYANG ROAD, PUDONG SHANGHAI F4 100006
Xu Zhang	director	100 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017
Hai Lin	director	100 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017
Shaosen Cheng	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	100 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017