Innovative MedTech (Innovative MedTech) Predictability Rank

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What is Innovative MedTech Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Innovative MedTech Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Innovative MedTech (Innovative MedTech) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Medical Devices & Instruments » Innovative MedTech Inc (OTCPK:IMTH) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

2310 York Street, Suite 200, Blue Island, IL, USA, 60406

Website

https://www.innovativemedtech.com

Innovative MedTech Inc is a provider of health and wellness services. It develops, manufactures, and sells a variety of medical devices and supplies, including blood collection and infusion products, surgical instruments, and wound care products. The company operates in two divisions: the RX Vitality digital wallet and health care app.

Executives

Merle Griff	officer: Chief Executive Officer	2310 YORK ST, SUITE 200, BLUE ISLAND IL 60406
Eddie Dovner	10 percent owner	70 SE 4TH AVE, DELRAY BEACH FL 33483
Charles Everhardt	director, 10 percent owner, other: Chairman of the Board	2310 YORK ST, STE 200, BLUE ISLAND IL 60406
Arthur Friedman	10 percent owner	280 MADISON AVE #1007, NEW YORK NY 10016
Marcia Roberts	10 percent owner	280 MADISON AVENUE, SUITE 1005, NEW YORK NY 10016
Michael Jordan Friedman	director, 10 percent owner, officer: President & CEO	280 MADISON AVENUE, SUITE 1005, NEW YORK NY 10016
Illuminate, Inc.	10 percent owner	881 KENNEDY BLVD., JERSEY CITL NJ 07002
A William Bodine	director, officer: CFO	280 MADISON AVENUE, SUITE 1005, NEW YORK NY 10016
Dominick M Cingari	director, officer: COO	280 MADISON AVENUE, SUITE 1005, NEW YORK NY 10016
Jay Odintz	director	280 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10016
Vincent L Verdiramo	director, officer: President	3163 KENNEDY BLVD, JERSEY CITY NJ 07306