What is KULR Technology Group Predictability Rank?
Not Rated
Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:
1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.
It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.
GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.
KULR Technology Group Predictability Rank Calculation
In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.
Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:
Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.
The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.
Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns
| Predictables | Non-Predictable | All stocks |
|---|
| Total Number of stocks | 570 | 1833 | 2403 |
| Total Lost Money | 61 | 830 | 891 |
| Total Lost More Than 50% | 18 | 412 | 430 |
| Total Lost More Than 90% | 4 | 86 | 90 |
| Average Gain | 260.6% | 100.0% | 138.1% |
| Median Gain | 150.0% | 13.0% | 39.0% |
| Maximum Gain | 2852.0% | 11483.0% | 11483.0% |
| Maximum Loss | -100.0% | -100.0% | -100.0% |
| Annualized Average Gain | 12.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% |
| Annualized Median Gain | 8.9% | 1.1% | 3.1% |
For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.
| Predictability Rank | 5-Star | 4.5-Star | 4-Star | 3.5-Star | 3-Star | 2.5-Star | 2-Star | 1-Star (non-predictable) | Average among all |
|---|
| % Out of All 2403 Stocks |
3.3% |
2.9% |
3.7% |
3.3% |
3.3% |
3.7% |
3.3% |
76.3% |
100% |
| % that are in Loss (10y) |
3% |
10% |
8% |
9% |
11% |
18% |
16% |
45% |
37% |
| Average Gain (10y) |
364.6% |
330.9% |
278.0% |
235.1% |
243.5% |
227.8% |
154.8% |
100.0% |
138.1% |
| Median Gain (10y) |
238.5% |
193.5% |
171.0% |
159.0% |
132.5% |
113.5% |
87.0% |
13.0% |
39.0% |
| Maximum Gainer |
2228.0% |
2547.0% |
2452.0% |
2852.0% |
2432.0% |
1892.0% |
1807.0% |
11483.0% |
11483.0% |
| Maximum Loser |
-82.0% |
-53.0% |
-67.0% |
-100.0% |
-83.0% |
-100.0% |
-78.0% |
-100.0% |
-100.0% |
| Annualized Average Gain |
15.4% |
14.6% |
13.2% |
12.0% |
12.2% |
11.7% |
9.1% |
6.7% |
8.4% |
| Annualized Median Gain |
12.1% |
10.6% |
9.8% |
9.3% |
8.2% |
7.3% |
6.0% |
1.1% |
3.1% |
For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank
Also read:
Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety
KULR Technology Group (KULR Technology Group) Business Description
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
4863 Shawline Street, San Diego, CA, USA, 92111
KULR Technology Group Inc develops and commercializes high-performance thermal management technologies for electronics, batteries, and other components. The company is focused on targeting the following applications: electric vehicles and autonomous driving systems; artificial intelligence and Cloud computing; energy storage; and 5G communication technologies. Its product portfolio includes ARA Thermal Capacitor, CRUX Cathode, HYDRA Thermal Runaway Shield, LYRA ISC Trigger Cell, URSA Fiber Thermal Interface, and VEGA Internal Short Circuit.
Executives
| Michael Mo |
director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO |
14440 BIG BASIN WAY, #12, SARATOGA CA 95070 |
| Timothy Ray Knowles |
director, officer: Chief Technical Officer |
C/O KT HIGH-TECH MARKETING INC., 14440 BIG BASIN WAY #12, SARATOGA CA 95070 |
| Shawn Canter |
officer: Chief Financial Officer |
4863 SHAWLINE STREET, SAN DIEGO CA 92111 |
| William Quinn Walker |
officer: Chief Technology Officer |
626 BEALS CREEK LANE, WEBSTER TX 77598 |
| Terry Keith Cochran |
officer: President and COO |
1999 S BASCOM AVE, SUITE 700, CAMPBELL CA 95008 |
| Stayce D. Harris |
director |
1999 S. BASCOM AVE., SUITE 700, CAMPBELL CA 95008 |
| Joanna D. Massey |
director |
1999 S. BASCOM AVE, SUITE 700, CAMPBELL CA 95008 |
| Morio Kurosaki |
director |
1-2-14 ICHIGAYASADOHARA, SHINJUKU-KU, TOKYO M0 162-0842 |
| Simon P Westbrook |
officer: Chief Financial Officer |
4920 EL CAMINO REAL, STE 100, LOS ALTOS CA 94022 |
| George Ernest Henschke |
officer: Interim Prin. Fin. Off., Treas |
C/O KT HIGH-TECH MARKETING INC., 14440 BIG BASIN WAY #12, SARATOGA CA 95070 |
| Michael Gerald Carpenter |
officer: Vice President of Engineering |
C/O KT HIGH-TECH MARKETING INC., 14440 BIG BASIN WAY #12, SARATOGA CA 95070 |
| James M Cassidy |
director, 10 percent owner, officer: president,secretary,treasurer |
215 APOLENA AVENUE, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92662 |
| James K Mckillop |
director, 10 percent owner, officer: VP |
9454 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 612, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90212 |
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