MMND (Mastermind) Predictability Rank

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What is Mastermind Predictability Rank?

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Mastermind Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Mastermind Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Mastermind Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Communication Services » Media - Diversified » Mastermind Inc (OTCPK:MMND) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

2221 Peachtree Road, North East, Suite D-134, Atlanta, GA, USA, 30309

Website

https://www.mastermindmarketing.com

Mastermind Inc is an involvement marketing service agency that designs, creates, and develops branding and marketing campaigns for large corporate clients. This involvement is achieved through multi-dimensional marketing campaigns that employ social, digital, mobile, content, influencer marketing, gamification, and promotion to drive greater sales and ROI.

Executives

Ricardo Rios	officer: Senior Vice President	3706 PACES PARK CIRCLE, VININGS GA 30080
Michael P Gelfond	10 percent owner, officer: Executive Vice President	1129 N. HIGHLAND AVENUE, ATLANTA GA 30306
Mastermind Marketing, Inc.	10 percent owner	1450 W. PEACHTREE STREET NW, ATLANTA GA 30309
Daniel A Dodson	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer	1450 W. PEACHTREE STREET NW, ATLANTA GA 30309
Villanta Corp	10 percent owner	1129 N. HIGHLAND AVENUE, ATLANTA GA 30306
Henrik Rouf	10 percent owner	468 N. CAMDEN DR., SUITE 350, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90210
Henrik Oerbekker	10 percent owner	94, RUE DES AUBEPINES, L-1145, LUXEMBOURG N4 2449
Bennett J. Yankowitz	director, 10 percent owner, officer: President	P.O. BOX 5778, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90024
Allan Kronborg	director, 10 percent owner	NELLER?DVEJ 65, 3200 HELSINGE, HULLEBAEK G7 3050
Sj Corporate Finance Aps	10 percent owner	HVEDEVEJ 4, SMOERUM G7 2765
Robert K Bench	director, officer: President	355 S 520 W, SUITE 100, LINDON UT 84042
David Hunt	10 percent owner	66 EXCHANGE PL, STE 201, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84111
Bradly Matthew Bingham	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	274 HYGEIA COURT, ENCINITAS CA 92024
Lee Joshua Eikov	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	560 LAVERS CIRCLE #146, DELRAY BEACH FL 33344

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