Microvast Holdings (Microvast Holdings) Predictability Rank

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What is Microvast Holdings Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Microvast Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Microvast Holdings (Microvast Holdings) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Industrial Products » Microvast Holdings Inc (NAS:MVST) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

2OZA:Germany 2OZA:Germany 2OZ:Germany

Address

12603 Southwest Freeway, Suite 300, Stafford, TX, USA, 77477

Website

https://www.microvast.com

Microvast Holdings Inc is a technology innovator that designs, develops, and manufactures lithium-ion battery solutions. The company is renowned for its cutting-edge cell technology and its vertical integration capabilities which extend from core battery chemistry to battery packs.

Executives

Yanzhuan Zheng	director, officer: CFO, Director	12603 SOUTHWEST FREEWAY, SUITE 210, STAFFORD TX 77477
Craig Webster	director	12603 SOUTHWEST FREEWAY, SUITE 210, STAFFORD TX 77477
Zachariah Ward	officer: President, Microvast Energy	12603 SOUTHWEST FREEWAY, SUITE 210, STAFFORD TX 77477
Yeelong Balladon	director	C/O MICROVAST HOLDINGS, INC., 12603 SOUTHWEST FREEWAY, SUITE 210, STAFFORD TX 77477
Shane Smith	officer: COO & President, Microvast US	12603 SOUTHWEST FREEWAY, SUITE 210, STAFFORD TX 77477
Stephen A Vogel	director	701 BRAZOS STREET, SUITE 1200, AUSTIN TX 78701
Sarah Beth Alexander	officer: General Counsel	12603 SOUTHWEST FREEWAY, SUITE 210, STAFFORD TX 77477
Michael Stanley Whittingham	director	12603 SOUTHWEST FREEWAY, SUITE 210, STAFFORD TX 77477
Yang Wu	director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO, COB, Director	12603 SOUTHWEST FREEWAY, SUITE 210, STAFFORD TX 77477
Wong Arthur Lap Tat	director	C/O 27 UNION SQUARE WEST, SUITE 502, NEW YORK NY 10003
Shengxian Wu	officer: CEO, Microvast China	12603 SOUTHWEST FREEWAY, SUITE 210, STAFFORD TX 77477
Sascha Rene Kelterborn	officer: CRO & Man. Dir. Microvast EMEA	12603 SOUTHWEST FREEWAY, SUITE 210, STAFFORD TX 77477
Wenjuan Mattis	officer: Chief Technology Officer (CTO)	12603 SOUTHWEST FREEWAY, SUITE 210, STAFFORD TX 77477
Lu Gao	officer: Chief Accounting Officer (CAO)	12603 SOUTHWEST FREEWAY, SUITE 210, STAFFORD TX 77477
Wei Ying	director	12603 SOUTHWEST FREEWAY, SUITE 210, STAFFORD TX 77477