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ONDS (Ondas Holdings) Predictability Rank


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What is Ondas Holdings Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.


Ondas Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Ondas Holdings Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Ondas Holdings's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Ondas Holdings Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
One Marina Park Drive, Suite 1410, Boston, MA, USA, 02210
Ondas Holdings Inc designs, develops, manufactures, sells, and supports FullMAX Software Defined Radio (SDR) technology in the United States, Israel, and India. The company operates in two business segments namely Ondas Networks and Ondas Autonomous Systems. The company generates maximum revenue from Ondas Autonomous Systems through the sales of the Optimus system and separately priced support, maintenance, and ancillary services related to the sale of the Optimus system.
Executives
Richard M Cohen director C/O CARNEGIE INTERNATIONAL CORP, 11350 MCCORMICK ROAD EXECUTIVE PLAZA #3, HUNT VALLEY MD 21031
Jaspreet K Sood director 61 OLD SOUTH ROAD, #495, NANTUCKET MA 02554
Randy Seidl director C/O ONDAS HOLDINGS INC., 165 GIBRALTAR CT., SUNNYVALE CA 94089
Eric A Brock director, officer: CEO and Chairman 165 GIBRALTAR COURT, SUNNYVALE CA 94089
Joseph V Popolo 10 percent owner 3899 MAPLE AVENUE, SUITE 100, DALLAS TX 75219
Yishay Curelaru officer: CFO, Treasurer and Secretary 14 HAMEYASDIM ST., YESOD HAMAALA L3 1210500
Richard H Silverman director 165 GIBRALTAR COURT, SUNNYVALE CA 94089
Thomas Bushey director, officer: President 55 EAST 52ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10055
Reese Mozer officer: President 411 WAVERLEY OAKS ROAD, SUITE 114, WALTHAM MA 02452
Derek Reisfield director 165 GIBRALTAR COURT, SUNNYVALE CA 94089
Stewart Kantor director, officer: CFO, Pres., Sec., Treasurer 165 GIBRALTAR COURT, SUNNYVALE CA 94089
Robert J Smith 10 percent owner 13650 FIDDLESTICKS BLVD., SUITE 202-324, FT. MYERS FL 33912