PDYN (Palladyne AI) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to 2021. Start your Free Trial

What is Palladyne AI Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Palladyne AI Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Palladyne AI Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Palladyne AI's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Palladyne AI Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Palladyne AI Corp (NAS:PDYN) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

650 South 500 West, Suite 150, Salt Lake City, UT, USA, 84101

Website

https://www.palladyneai.com

Palladyne AI Corp is a software company focused on autonomy for robotic systems and solutions. Its artificial intelligence and machine learning software seeks to revolutionize the capabilities of robots, enabling them to observe, learn, reason, and act in structured and unstructured environments. AI and ML software platform of the company empowers robots to perceive variations or changes in the real-world environment, enabling them to autonomously maneuver and manipulate objects accurately in response. Palladyne AI software has wide application, including in industries such as automotive, aviation, construction, defense, general manufacturing, infrastructure inspection, logistics and warehousing.

Executives

Stephen Sonne	officer: Chief Legal Officer	C/O SARCOS TECHNOLOGY & ROBOTICS CORP, 650 SOUTH 500 WEST, SUITE 150, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84101
Denis Garagic	officer: Chief Technology Officer	650 SOUTH 500 WEST, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84101
Kristi Martindale	officer: EVP, Ch. Product & Market Off	360 WAKARA WAY, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84108
Matthew Vogt	officer: Chief Revenue Officer	C/O SARCOS TECHNOLOGY AND ROBOTICS CORP, 650 SOUTH 500 WEST, SUITE 150, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84101
Benjamin G Wolff	director, 10 percent owner, officer: President & CEO	2300 CARILLON POINT, KIRKLAND WA 98033
Dennis M Weibling	director	2300 CARILLON POINT, KIRKLAND WA 98033
Brian D Finn	director	C/O BLACKROCK KELSO CAPITAL CORPORATION, 40 EAST 52ND STREET, NEW YORK NY 10022
Andrew Hamer	officer: Chief Financial Officer	777 MARINERS ISLAND BLVD, SAN MATEO CA 94404
Jorgen Pedersen	officer: Chief Operating Officer	650 SOUTH 500 WEST, SUITE 150, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84101
Kiva A. Allgood	director, officer: President & CEO	C/O SYNAPTICS INCORPORATED, 1251 MCKAY DRIVE, SAN JOSE CA 95131
Fraser Smith	10 percent owner, officer: Chief Innovation Officer	360 WAKARA WAY, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84108
Marc Olivier	10 percent owner	360 WAKARA WAY, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84108
Steven Q. Hansen	officer: Chief Financial Officer	360 WAKARA WAY, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84108
Matthew Shigenobu Muta	director	360 WAKARA WAY, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84108
Priya Balasubramaniam	director	360 WAKARA WAY, SALT LAKE CITY UT 84108