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RANI (Rani Therapeutics Holdings) Predictability Rank


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What is Rani Therapeutics Holdings Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Rani Therapeutics Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Rani Therapeutics Holdings Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Rani Therapeutics Holdings's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Rani Therapeutics Holdings Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Rani Therapeutics Holdings Inc (NAS:RANI) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Comparable Companies
FNCH JUNS CRIS LSB OVID SLGL LGVN RLMD LEXX QTTB VRTX ASX:CSL REGN XKRX:207940 ALNY XBRU:ARGX XBRU:UCB ONC XKRX:068270 BNTX
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2051 Ringwood Avenue, San Jose, CA, USA, 95131
Website
https://www.ranitherapeutics.com
Rani Therapeutics Holdings Inc is a clinical-stage biotherapeutics company advancing technologies to enable the development of orally administered biologics to provide patients, physicians, and healthcare systems with a convenient alternative to painful injections. The company has developed the RaniPill capsule, which is designed to deliver a wide variety of drug substances, including antibodies, proteins, peptides, and oligonucleotides. RaniPill is a proprietary and patented platform technology, intended to replace subcutaneous or IV injection of biologics with oral dosing. The company is also engaged in developing RaniPill HC, which is intended to enable the delivery of drug payloads in liquid form with high bioavailability.
Executives
Kate Mckinley officer: CHIEF BUSINESS OFFICER C/O RANI THERAPEUTICS HOLDINGS, INC., 2051 RINGWOOD AVE., SAN JOSE CA 95131
Talat Imran director, officer: CEO C/O RANI THERAPEUTICS HOLDINGS, INC., 2051 RINGWOOD AVENUE, SAN JOSE CA 95131
South Cone Investments Limited Partnership 10 percent owner AVENIDA PRESIDENTE RIESCO 5711 OFICINA 1, LAS CONDES, SANTIAGO F3 7550000
Quiroga Cortes Isidoro Alfonso 10 percent owner 9020 N CAPITAL OF TEXAS HWY, SUITE I-260, AUSTIN TX 78759
Jean Luc Butel director ONE BAXTER PARKWAY, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Maulik Nanavaty director BOSTON SCIENTIFIC CORPORATION, 300 BOSTON SCIENTIFIC WAY, MARLBOROUGH MA 01752-1234
Svai S Sanford officer: CFO C/O RANI THERAPEUTICS LLC, 2051 RINGWOOD AVE., SAN JOSE CA 95131
Eric Groen officer: General Counsel C/O RANI THERAPEUTICS HOLDINGS, INC., 2051 RINGWOOD AVE., SAN JOSE CA 95131
Mir Hashim officer: Chief Scientific Officer C/O RANI THERAPEUTICS HOLDINGS, INC., 2051 RINGWOOD AVENUE, SAN JOSE CA 95131
South Lake One Llc 10 percent owner 250 WEST 55TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10019
Aequanimitas Limited Partnership 10 percent owner LEONEL AGUIRRE 1830, UNIT 101, MONTEVIDEO X3 11500
Mir A Imran director
Andrew Farquharson director C/O RANI THERAPEUTICS HOLDINGS, INC., 2051 RINGWOOD AVENUE, SAN JOSE CA 95131
Laureen Debuono director
Lisa Ann Rometty director C/O RANI THERAPEUTICS HOLDINGS, INC., 2051 RINGWOOD AVE., SAN JOSE CA 95131