Rubicon Technologies (Rubicon Technologies) Predictability Rank

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What is Rubicon Technologies Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Rubicon Technologies Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Rubicon Technologies (Rubicon Technologies) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Rubicon Technologies Inc (NYSE:RBT) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

RBT:Mexico

Address

100 West Main Street, Suite 610, Lexington, KY, USA, 40507

Website

https://www.rubicon.com

Rubicon Technologies Inc is a software platform providing full-service waste management, recycling, and smart city technology solutions. It focuses on developing software solutions that bring new transparency to the waste and recycling industry, encouraging customers to make data-driven decisions that lead to more efficient and effective operations as well as more sustainable outcomes.

Executives

Palantir Technologies Inc.	10 percent owner	1200 17TH STREET, FLOOR 15, DENVER CO 80202
Hernandez Andres Chico	director	MONTANAS CALIZAS 515, LOMAS DE CHAPULTEP, MEXICO CITY O5 11000
Jose Miguel Enrich	10 percent owner	781 CRANDON BLVD 902, KEY BISCAYNE FL 33149
Kevin Michael Schubert	officer: President	1240 WEST WESLEY ROAD, ATLANTA GA 30327
Jevan Anderson	officer: Chief Financial Officer	1819 DORIS DRIVE, MENLO PARK CA 94025
William D. Meyer	officer: General Counsel	177 BEVERLY ROAD NE, ATLANTA GA 30309
Daniel P. Sampson	officer: Chief Mktg & Comms Officer	231 EAST 76TH STREET, APT. 7J, NEW YORK NY 10021
Paula Henderson	director	1810 SAINT MARY'S ST, RALEIGH NC 27608
Rgh, Inc.	10 percent owner	100 WEST MAIN STREET, SUITE 601, LEXINGTON KY 40507
Michael S. Heller	officer: Chief Administrative Officer	10005 RIVER ROCK DRIVE NE, ROSWELL GA 30076
Nathaniel Morris	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer	100 WEST MAIN STREET, SUITE 601, LEXINGTON KY 40507
Tom Owston	officer: Interim CCO	409 MCCLENAGHAN MILL ROAD, WYNNEWOOD PA 19096
David Rachelson	officer: Chief Sustainability Officer	75 26TH STREET NW, ATLANTA GA 30309
De Viel Castel Renaud	officer: Chief Operations Officer	743 ANASTASIA AVENUE, CORAL GABLES FL 33134
Philip Rodoni	officer: Chief Technology Officer	PO BOX 1296, POINT REYES STATION CA 94956