What is Scinai Immunotherapeutics Predictability Rank?
1 (5)
Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:
1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.
It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.
GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.
Scinai Immunotherapeutics Predictability Rank Calculation
In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.
Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:
Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.
The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.
Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns
| Predictables | Non-Predictable | All stocks |
|---|
| Total Number of stocks | 570 | 1833 | 2403 |
| Total Lost Money | 61 | 830 | 891 |
| Total Lost More Than 50% | 18 | 412 | 430 |
| Total Lost More Than 90% | 4 | 86 | 90 |
| Average Gain | 260.6% | 100.0% | 138.1% |
| Median Gain | 150.0% | 13.0% | 39.0% |
| Maximum Gain | 2852.0% | 11483.0% | 11483.0% |
| Maximum Loss | -100.0% | -100.0% | -100.0% |
| Annualized Average Gain | 12.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% |
| Annualized Median Gain | 8.9% | 1.1% | 3.1% |
For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.
| Predictability Rank | 5-Star | 4.5-Star | 4-Star | 3.5-Star | 3-Star | 2.5-Star | 2-Star | 1-Star (non-predictable) | Average among all |
|---|
| % Out of All 2403 Stocks |
3.3% |
2.9% |
3.7% |
3.3% |
3.3% |
3.7% |
3.3% |
76.3% |
100% |
| % that are in Loss (10y) |
3% |
10% |
8% |
9% |
11% |
18% |
16% |
45% |
37% |
| Average Gain (10y) |
364.6% |
330.9% |
278.0% |
235.1% |
243.5% |
227.8% |
154.8% |
100.0% |
138.1% |
| Median Gain (10y) |
238.5% |
193.5% |
171.0% |
159.0% |
132.5% |
113.5% |
87.0% |
13.0% |
39.0% |
| Maximum Gainer |
2228.0% |
2547.0% |
2452.0% |
2852.0% |
2432.0% |
1892.0% |
1807.0% |
11483.0% |
11483.0% |
| Maximum Loser |
-82.0% |
-53.0% |
-67.0% |
-100.0% |
-83.0% |
-100.0% |
-78.0% |
-100.0% |
-100.0% |
| Annualized Average Gain |
15.4% |
14.6% |
13.2% |
12.0% |
12.2% |
11.7% |
9.1% |
6.7% |
8.4% |
| Annualized Median Gain |
12.1% |
10.6% |
9.8% |
9.3% |
8.2% |
7.3% |
6.0% |
1.1% |
3.1% |
For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank
Also read:
Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety
Scinai Immunotherapeutics Business Description
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Hadassah Ein Kerem Campus, 2nd Floor, Jerusalem BioPark, Jerusalem, ISR
Scinai Immunotherapeutics Ltd is a biopharmaceutical company with two complementary business units, one focused on in-house development of inflammation and immunology (I&I) biological therapeutic products beginning with a pipeline of nanosized VHH antibodies (NanoAbs) targeting diseases with large unmet medical needs, and the other a boutique CDMO providing services to help biotech companies efficiently bring their products to market by leveraging Scinai's drug development and GMP and non-GMP manufacturing capabilities for pre-clinical and clinical studies. The company generates maximum revenue from the provision of CDMO (Contract Development and Manufacturing Organization) services.
Executives
| Samuel J Moed |
director |
BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY, ROUTE 206 & PROVINCELINE ROAD, LAWRENCEVILLE NJ 08543 |
| Mark Germain |
director, other: Chairman |
WELLSFORD REAL PROPERTIES INC, 535 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022 |
| Uri Ben-or |
officer: Chief Financial Officer |
C/O BIOMX LTD., 7 PINHAS SAPIR ST., FLOOR 2, NESS ZIONA L3 7414002 |
| Yael Margolin |
director |
4850 WEST 78TH STREET, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46268 |
| Adi Raviv |
director |
STRAUS CAPITAL GROUP, 411 HACKENSACK AVENUE, 7TH FLOOR, HACKENSACK NJ 07601 |
| Morris C Laster |
director |
11 REUVEN SHARI ST., JERUSALEM L3 9724611 |
| Tamar Ben-yedidia |
officer: Chief Scientist |
6 HAZIT ST., MAZKERET BATIA L3 7685421 |
| Avner Rotman |
director |
21 EISENBERG ST., REHOVOT L3 7628905 |
| Amir Reichman |
director, officer: Chief Executive Officer |
269 NAHAL FARAN ST., TAL SHAHAR L3 7680500 |
| Elad Mark |
officer: Chief Operating Officer |
27 HAILANOT, HERZLIYA L3 4631214 |
| George Lowell |
director |
33 DERECH BEIT LECHEM ST., JERUSALEM L3 9355317 |
| Jay Green |
director |
354 CONCESSION 10 E, FREELTON, ON Z4 L8B 1H6 |
Quick Browse
Personalize
Premium Gurus 
Create New Portfolio
Portfolio Contest
SCNI has been successfully added to your