Sino Green Land (Sino Green Land) Predictability Rank

View and export this data going back to . Start your Free Trial

What is Sino Green Land Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Sino Green Land Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Sino Green Land Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Sino Green Land's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Sino Green Land (Sino Green Land) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Waste Management » Sino Green Land Corp (OTCPK:SGLA) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

No. 3 & 5, Jalan Hi Tech 7/7, Kawasan Perindustrian Hi Tech 7, Semenyih, SGR, MYS, 43500

Website

http://www.sinogreenland.com

Sino Green Land Corporation is engaged in the wholesale distribution, marketing and sales of high-value fruits and vegetables to wholesale centers and supermarkets in China.

Executives

Wong Ching Wing Elise	director	8H, TOWER 21, LAGUNA VERDE, 8 LAGUNA VERDE RD, HUNG HOM, KOWLOON K3 00000
Kuk Ching Wo	director, 10 percent owner	8H, TOWER 21, LAGUNA VERDE,, 8 LAGUNA VERDE RD, HUNG HOM, KOWLOON K3 00000
Erin Wong	officer: Secretary	8H, TOWER 21, LAGUNA VERDE, 8 LAGUNA VERDE RD, HUNG HOM, KOWLOON K3 00000
Wai Yin Cheng	director, 10 percent owner	PO BOX 36, PANG F4 0000000000
Liu Ka Lim (louis)	director	UNIT 7 001-3 IFC 2, CENTRAL K3 0000000000
Huasong Sheena Shen	officer: Chief Financial Officer	11 WILLOW ROAD, WESTON CT 06883
Tse Karen Ka Yan	director	SUITE 2711A, 27/F. EXCHANGE TOWER, 33 WANG CHIU ROAD, KOWLOON BAY, KOWLOON K3 000000
Chan Danvil Kin Hang	director	SUITE 2711A, 27/F, EXCHANGE TOWER, 33 WANG CHIU ROAD, KOWLOON BAY, KOWLOON K3 0000000
Xiong Luo	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Corporate Secretary	5, JALAN DIAMOND 20, DIAMOND RESIDENCE, SEMENYIH, SELANGOR N8 43000
Fong Anson Yiu Ming	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive and Chairman	6F NO. 947, QIAO XING ROAD, PAN YU DISTRICT, GUANG ZHOU F4 510620
Pan Yan	officer: Chief Operating Officer	6/F NO. 947 QIAO XING ROAD, SHI QIAO TOWN, PAN YU DISTRICT, GUANG ZHOU F4 511490
Jeremy Goodwin	director	1546 MICHAEL LANE, PACIFIC PALISADES CA 90272
Chi Ming Leung	director, officer: CEO and President	6F NO. 947, QIAO XING ROAD, PAN YU DISTRICT, GUANG ZHOU F4 510620
Grand Will Investment Group Ltd.	10 percent owner	6F NO. 947, QIAO XING ROAD, PAN YU DISTRICT, GUANG ZHOU F4 510620
Logo International Holdings Ltd.	10 percent owner	6F NO. 947, QIAO XING ROAD, PAN YU DISTRICT, GUANG ZHOU F4 510620

Sino Green Land (Sino Green Land) Headlines

No Headlines