SING (SinglePoint) Predictability Rank

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What is SinglePoint Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

SinglePoint Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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SinglePoint Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Semiconductors » SinglePoint Inc (OTCPK:SING) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

SING:USA

Address

3104 East Camelback Road, Suite 2137, Phoenix, AZ, USA, 85016

Website

https://www.singlepoint.com

SinglePoint Inc is a renewable and sustainable solution company focused on solar power and indoor air purification. It is committed to building the largest vertically integrated network for the marketing and installation of solar panels in the residential and commercial markets. The company's subsidiary, BOX Pure Air, is engaged in the Indoor Air Quality sector addressing the need for air purification in schools and offices. SinglePoint is exploring future acquisition and growth opportunities in energy storage, electric vehicle charging, solar as a subscription service and additional energy-efficient appliances that enhance sustainability.

Executives

Greg Paul Lambrecht	director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO	2999 NORTH 44TH STREET, SUITE 530, PHOENIX AZ 85018
Jeffrey Allen Nomura	director	5012 BEACH DR SW, SEATTLE WA 98136
Eric Lofdahl	director	2999 NORTH 44TH STREET, SUITE 530, PHOENIX AZ 85018
Wil Ralston	director, officer: President	3920 E THOMAS ROAD, #97292, PHOENIX AZ 85060
Venugopal Aravamudan	director	2999 NORTH 44TH STREET, SUITE 530, PHOENIX AZ 85018
Hans J Schulte	director, 10 percent owner, officer: President	2300 E SAHARA AVENUE, SUITE 800, LAS VEGAS NV 89102
Ivan Braverman	director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Financial Officer	1255 MCDONALD DRIVE, PRESCOTT AZ 86303
Prabaharan Subramaniam	director, 10 percent owner, officer: CHIEF TECHNOLOGY OFFICER	2300 E. SAHARA AVENUE, SUITE 800, LAS VEGAS NV 89102