GRCS (TSE:9250) Predictability Rank

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

TSE:9250 GRCS Inc TSE:9250
53 GF Score
Price 円920.00
GF Value 円1,901.94
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 5 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is GRCS Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

GRCS Predictability Rank Related Terms

TSE:9250
53GF Score
GRCS Inc TSE:9250
Predictability Rank is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

GRCS Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Is GRCS (TSE:9250) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, GRCS stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of 円920.00 is trading 51.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of 円1,901.94. GuruFocus considers GRCS to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for TSE:9250:

  • Predictability Rank:
  • GF Value™: 円1,901.94 vs. price of 円920.00 (51.6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 53/100 with 5 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:9250 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

GRCS Business Description

Address 1-1-1 Marunouchi, 5th Floor, Palace Building, Chiyoda-ku, Yokohama, Tokyo, JPN, 100-0005
GRCS Inc provides GRC solutions that visualize the risks surrounding a company and utilize IT to optimize company rules and social rules while utilizing them in management. Its GRC solutions business is divided into the Solutions Division and the Products Division. The Solutions division provides support for the implementation of GRC-related tools, including the design and construction of in-house developed products; consulting services such as IT security design, construction of regulations and policies, analysis, diagnosis, etc.; and services related to financial technology, including system analysis, development, and implementation. The Products division offers products that help solve operational issues related to GRC, managing personal information, and preventing security incidents.
53GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:9250

Predictability Rank is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円920.00
Price
円1,901.94
GF Value