VEEE (Twin Vee PowerCats Co) Predictability Rank

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What is Twin Vee PowerCats Co Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Twin Vee PowerCats Co Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Twin Vee PowerCats Co Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Twin Vee PowerCats Co Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Vehicles & Parts » Twin Vee PowerCats Co (NAS:VEEE) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

3101 South US Highway 1, Fort Pierce, FL, USA, 34982

Website

https://www.twinvee.com

Twin Vee PowerCats Co is a designer, manufacturer, and marketer of recreational and commercial power boats to use for fishing, diving and water skiing, and commercial activities including transportation, eco-tours, fishing, and diving expeditions. The company offers various boat models, including Twin Vee 400 GFX2 CC, Twin Vee 280 GFX2 CC, and Twin Vee 260 Center Console STX, among others. Its products are marketed under two brands, Twin Vee for its catamarans, or dual-hull vessels, and Aquasport for its V-hull boats. The company sells its boats through a network of independent boat dealers across North America, the Caribbean, and Central America who resell the boats to the end user, Twin Vee customers.

Executives

Joseph C Visconti	director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO and President	525 SOUTH FLAGLER DRIVE #400, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33401
Kevin Schuyler	director	1180 SEMINOLE TRAIL, SUITE 495, CHARLOTTESVILLE VA 22901
Bard D. Rockenbach	director	3101 S. US-1, FT. PIERCE FL 34982
Carrie L. Gunnerson	officer: Chief Financial Officer	5556 HIGHWAY 9, ARMSTRONG IA 50514
Steven A Shallcross	director	C/O ELYS GAME TECHNOLOGY CORP., 130 ADELAIDE STREET WEST, SUITE 701, TORONTO A6 M5H2K4
Twin Vee Powercats, Inc.	10 percent owner	3101 SOUTH US HIGHWAY 1, FT PIERCE FL 34982
Neil Ross	director	3101 S. US-1, FT. PIERCE FL 34982
Donna Barnett	officer: Chief Financial Officer	3101 S. US-1, FT. PIERCE FL 34982
Preston Yarborough	director, officer: Vice President	3101 S. US-1, FT. PIERCE FL 34981
James Henry Melvin	director	3101 S. US-1, FT. PIERCE FL 34982
Daniel Norton	officer: Chief Engineer	3101 S. US-1, FT. PIERCE FL 34982