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VEEE (Twin Vee PowerCats Co) Predictability Rank


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What is Twin Vee PowerCats Co Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.


Twin Vee PowerCats Co Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Twin Vee PowerCats Co Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Twin Vee PowerCats Co Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
3101 South US Highway 1, Fort Pierce, FL, USA, 34982
Twin Vee PowerCats Co is a designer, manufacturer, and marketer of recreational and commercial power boats to use for fishing, diving and water skiing, and commercial activities including transportation, eco-tours, fishing, and diving expeditions. The company offers various boat models, including Twin Vee 400 GFX2 CC, Twin Vee 280 GFX2 CC, and Twin Vee 260 Center Console STX, among others. Its products are marketed under two brands, Twin Vee for its catamarans, or dual-hull vessels, and Aquasport for its V-hull boats. The company sells its boats through a network of independent boat dealers across North America, the Caribbean, and Central America who resell the boats to the end user, Twin Vee customers.
Executives
Joseph C Visconti director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO and President 525 SOUTH FLAGLER DRIVE #400, WEST PALM BEACH FL 33401
Kevin Schuyler director 1180 SEMINOLE TRAIL, SUITE 495, CHARLOTTESVILLE VA 22901
Bard D. Rockenbach director 3101 S. US-1, FT. PIERCE FL 34982
Carrie L. Gunnerson officer: Chief Financial Officer 5556 HIGHWAY 9, ARMSTRONG IA 50514
Steven A Shallcross director C/O ELYS GAME TECHNOLOGY CORP., 130 ADELAIDE STREET WEST, SUITE 701, TORONTO A6 M5H2K4
Twin Vee Powercats, Inc. 10 percent owner 3101 SOUTH US HIGHWAY 1, FT PIERCE FL 34982
Neil Ross director 3101 S. US-1, FT. PIERCE FL 34982
Donna Barnett officer: Chief Financial Officer 3101 S. US-1, FT. PIERCE FL 34982
Preston Yarborough director, officer: Vice President 3101 S. US-1, FT. PIERCE FL 34981
James Henry Melvin director 3101 S. US-1, FT. PIERCE FL 34982
Daniel Norton officer: Chief Engineer 3101 S. US-1, FT. PIERCE FL 34982