WOW (WideOpenWest) Predictability Rank

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What is WideOpenWest Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

WideOpenWest Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

WideOpenWest Predictability Rank Related Terms

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WideOpenWest Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Communication Services » Telecommunication Services » WideOpenWest Inc (NYSE:WOW) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

7887 East Belleview Avenue, Suite 1000, Englewood, CO, USA, 80111

Website

https://www.wowway.com

WideOpenWest Inc is a cable operator and broadband service, provider. The company serves residential, business and wholesale customers in Illinois, Michigan, Indiana, Ohio, Kansas, Tennessee, Maryland, and South Carolina. Its service portfolio consists of high-speed internet, data, voice, cloud, and cable television services. The company operates in one business segment that is Broadband Services. The majority of the revenue is generated from the subscription service revenue received.

Executives

Teresa L Elder	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	4400 CARILLON POINT, KIRKLAND WA 98033
Don Schena	officer: Chief Customer Exper. Officer	C/O WIDEOPENWEST, INC., 7887 E. BELLEVIEW AVE., SUITE 1000, ENGLEWOOD CO 80111
Henry Hryckiewicz	officer: Chief Technology Officer	7887 EAST BELLEVIEW AVENUE, SUITE 1000, ENGLEWOOD CO 80111
Gunjan Bhow	director	7887 EAST BELLEVIEW AVENUE, SUITE 1000, ENGLEWOOD CO 80111
Donald Craig Martin	officer: General Counsel and Secretary	C/O WIDEOPENWEST, INC., 7887 EAST BELLEVIEW AVENUE, ENGLEWOOD CO 80111
David Brunick	officer: Chief Human Resources Officer	5619 DTC PARKWAY, GREENWOOD VILLAGE FL 80111
Northwestern Mutual Life Insurance Co	10 percent owner	720 EAST WISCONSIN AVENUE, MILWAUKEE WI 53202
John S Rego	officer: Chief Financial Officer	TREMOR VIDEO, INC., 1501 BROADWAY, 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Shannon Campain	officer: Chief Commercial Officer	7887 EAST BELLEVIEW AVENUE, SUITE 1000, ENGLEWOOD CO 80111
Barry S Volpert	director, 10 percent owner
Crestview Partners Iii Gp, L.p.	director, 10 percent owner	C/O CRESTVIEW PARTNERS, 590 MADISON AVENUE, 42ND FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Fish Richard Edward Jr	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O ITC DELTACOM, INC., 7037 OLD MADISON PIKE, HUNTSVILLE AL 35806
Bill Case	officer: Chief Information Officer	7887 EAST BELLEVIEW AVENUE, SUITE 1000, ENGLEWOOD CO 80111
Matthew John Bell	officer: Chief Technology Officer	C/O WIDEOPENWEST, INC., 7887 E. BELLEVIEW AVENUE, SUITE 1000, ENGLEWOOD CO 80111
Thomas Patrick Mcmillin	director	C/O WIDEOPENWEST, INC., 7887 EAST BELLEVIEW AVENUE, SUITE 1000, ENGLEWOOD CO 80111