Jedinstvo Sevojno a.d (XBEL:JESV) Predictability Rank


XBEL:JESV Jedinstvo Sevojno a.d XBEL:JESV
86 GF Score
Price RSD8,499.00
GF Value RSD8,892.96
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 4 Warning Signs
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What is Jedinstvo Sevojno a.d Predictability Rank?

1 (5)

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Jedinstvo Sevojno a.d Predictability Rank Related Terms

XBEL:JESV
86GF Score
Jedinstvo Sevojno a.d XBEL:JESV
Predictability Rank is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Jedinstvo Sevojno a.d Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Is Jedinstvo Sevojno a.d (XBEL:JESV) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Jedinstvo Sevojno a.d stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of RSD8,499.00 is trading 4.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of RSD8,892.96. GuruFocus considers Jedinstvo Sevojno a.d to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for XBEL:JESV:

  • Predictability Rank:
  • GF Value™: RSD8,892.96 vs. price of RSD8,499.00 (4.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 86/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the XBEL:JESV stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Jedinstvo Sevojno a.d Business Description

Address Prvomajska 61 A, Sevojno, SRB, 31205
Jedinstvo Sevojno a.d is engaged in the design and execution of hydro, thermal, and gas installations. The company is active in all areas of hydropower and water management, district heating, gasification, municipal and industrial hydropower, water supply to industry and settlements, water protection from pollution, production of process equipment for district heating, air conditioning, ventilation, purification of drinking water and industrial wastewater, as well as equipment for the road industry.
86GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XBEL:JESV

Predictability Rank is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

RSD8,499.00
Price
RSD8,892.96
GF Value