GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances » Spring Art Holdings Bhd (XKLS:0216) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Spring Art Holdings Bhd (XKLS:0216) Predictability Rank


View and export this data going back to 2019. Start your Free Trial

What is Spring Art Holdings Bhd Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Spring Art Holdings Bhd Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Spring Art Holdings Bhd Predictability Rank Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Spring Art Holdings Bhd's Predictability Rank provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Spring Art Holdings Bhd Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances » Spring Art Holdings Bhd (XKLS:0216) » Definitions » Predictability Rank
Comparable Companies
XKLS:0197 XKLS:7208 XKLS:7062 XKLS:9997 XKLS:0229 XKLS:2984 XKLS:7094 XKLS:7215 XKLS:7186 XKLS:7239 SZSE:000333 SZSE:000651 SHSE:600690 SGI SN TSE:9843 SHSE:605117 TPE:2059 SZSE:002032 SHSE:600839
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Kawasan Perindustrian Bukit Pasir, Lot PLO 49, Jalan Rami 4, Bukit Pasir, Muar, JHR, MYS, 84300
Website
https://www.springart.com
Spring Art Holdings Bhd is involved in the manufacturing of ready-to-assemble furniture products, where it undertakes the design and development, manufacturing as well as marketing and sales of office furniture such as office workstations, filing cabinets and pedestals, bedroom furniture such as beds, night stands, wardrobes, dressing tables, dressing stools and study desks, living room furniture such as computer desks, television consoles, sideboards, shoe cabinets, bookshelves and drawer chests as well as other types of furniture such as dining tables and kitchen cabinets. The group has only one business segment, namely the design, development, manufacturing, marketing and sales of furniture products.

Spring Art Holdings Bhd Headlines

No Headlines