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Zoro Mining (Zoro Mining) Predictability Rank


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What is Zoro Mining Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.


Zoro Mining Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

PredictablesNon-PredictableAll stocks
Total Number of stocks57018332403
Total Lost Money61830891
Total Lost More Than 50%18412430
Total Lost More Than 90%48690
Average Gain260.6%100.0%138.1%
Median Gain150.0%13.0%39.0%
Maximum Gain2852.0%11483.0%11483.0%
Maximum Loss-100.0%-100.0%-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain12.7%6.7%8.4%
Annualized Median Gain8.9%1.1%3.1%


















For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank5-Star4.5-Star4-Star3.5-Star3-Star2.5-Star2-Star1-Star (non-predictable)Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks 3.3% 2.9% 3.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 76.3% 100%
% that are in Loss (10y) 3% 10% 8% 9% 11% 18% 16% 45% 37%
Average Gain (10y) 364.6% 330.9% 278.0% 235.1% 243.5% 227.8% 154.8% 100.0% 138.1%
Median Gain (10y) 238.5% 193.5% 171.0% 159.0% 132.5% 113.5% 87.0% 13.0% 39.0%
Maximum Gainer 2228.0% 2547.0% 2452.0% 2852.0% 2432.0% 1892.0% 1807.0% 11483.0% 11483.0%
Maximum Loser -82.0% -53.0% -67.0% -100.0% -83.0% -100.0% -78.0% -100.0% -100.0%
Annualized Average Gain 15.4% 14.6% 13.2% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 9.1% 6.7% 8.4%
Annualized Median Gain 12.1% 10.6% 9.8% 9.3% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 1.1% 3.1%
















For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

Also read:

Part II: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part II: Role of Valuations
Part III: Intrinsic Value, Discounted Cash Flow and Margin of Safety

Zoro Mining Predictability Rank Related Terms

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Zoro Mining (Zoro Mining) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
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Address
Website
Zoro Mining Corp was incorporated under the laws of the State of Nevada on April 20, 2004 under the name 'Rockdale Mining Corp'. Effective March 19, 2007, it merged with a wholly-owned subsidiary, Zoro Mining Corp., pursuant to Articles of merger filed with the Nevada Secretary of State. The merger was in the form of a parent/subsidiary merger with Rochdale Mining Corp. as the surviving corporation. Upon completion of the merger, its corporate name was changed to 'Zoro Mining Corp.' and its Articles of Incorporation were amended to reflect this name change. It is a natural resource exploration company currently engaged in the exploration, acquisition and development of property located in South America and Mexico. It plans to conduct exploration programs on its properties with the objective of ascertaining whether any of its properties contain economic concentrations of minerals that are prospective for mining. The Company currently has interests in an aggregate of approximately 27,294 net acres located in Chile, approximately 4,940 net acres in Peru, and a further 6,822 gross acres located in Mexico, targeting gold, copper and platinum. It operates in a highly competitive industry, competing with other mining and exploration mineral companies, and institutional and individual investors, which are actively seeking metal and mineral based exploration properties throughout the world together with the equipment, labor and materials required to exploit such properties. The Company's mineral exploration activities are, or would be, subject to extensive foreign laws and regulations governing prospecting, development, production, exports, taxes, labor standards, occupational health, waste disposal, protection and remediation of the environment, protection of endangered and protected species, mine safety, toxic substances and other matters.
Executives
Andrew A Brodkey other: No longer Section 16 4960 N. CAMINO ANTONIO, TUSCON AZ 85718
David Hackman director, officer: VP of Exploration 3040 NORTH CAMPBELL AVE., SUITE 110, TUCSON AZ 85719
Frank Garcia officer: Chief Financial Officer 3040 N. CAMPBELL AVE. SUITE #110, TUCSON AZ 85719
Jodi Henderson officer: Corporate Secretary 7033 EAST CALLE BETELGEUX, TUCSON AZ 85710

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