ZyVersa Therapeutics (ZyVersa Therapeutics) Predictability Rank

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What is ZyVersa Therapeutics Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

ZyVersa Therapeutics Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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ZyVersa Therapeutics (ZyVersa Therapeutics) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » ZyVersa Therapeutics Inc (NAS:ZVSA) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

2200 North Commerce Parkway, Suite 208, Weston, FL, USA, 33326

Website

https://www.zyversa.com

ZyVersa Therapeutics Inc is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company leveraging proprietary technologies to develop drugs for patients with chronic renal or inflammatory diseases with high unmet medical needs. The company has two proprietary globally licensed drug development platforms which are 1) Cholesterol Efflux MediatorTM, VAR 200 (2-hydroxypropyl-beta-cyclodextrin) is an injectable drug in clinical development for the treatment of renal diseases. 2) IC 100 is a monoclonal antibody inflammasome ASC inhibitor in preclinical development for the treatment of inflammatory conditions.

Executives

Pablo A. Guzman	officer: Chief Medical Officer	C/O ZYVERSA THERAPEUTICS, INC., 2200 N. COMMERCE PARKWAY, WESTON FL 33326
Gregory Gene Freitag	director	13631 PROGRESS BLVD., ALACHUA FL 32615
Katrin Rupalla	director	10975 NORTH TORREY PINES ROAD, LA JOLLA CA 92037
James Sapirstein	director	1517 SAN JACINTO, HOUSTON TX 77002
Stephen C. Glover	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	108 DOCKSIDE CIRCLE, WESTON FL 33327
Labella Nicholas A. Jr.	officer: Chief Scientific Officer	C/O INSMED INCORPORATED, 8720 STONY POINT PKWY, SUITE 200, RICHMOND VA 23235
Peter Wolfe	officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O ZYVERSA THERAPEUTICS, INC., 2200 N. COMMERCE PARKWAY, WESTON FL 33326
Karen A. Cashmere	officer: Chief Commercial Officer	C/O ZYVERSA THERAPEUTICS, INC., 2200 N. COMMERCE PARKWAY, WESTON FL 33326
Min-chul Park	director	C/O ZYVERSA THERAPEUTICS, INC., 2200 N. COMMERCE PARKWAY, WESTON FL 33326
Incon Co., Ltd.	10 percent owner	4/F 16-17 LS-RO 91BEON-GIL, DONGAN-GU ANYANG, GYEONGGI M5 14042
Robert G Finizio	director	951 BROKEN SOUND PARKWAY NW, SUITE 320, BOCA RATON FL 33487
Raj Mehra	director	C/O SEELOS THERAPEUTICS, INC., 300 PARK AVENUE, 12TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
David S. Briones	director, officer: Chief Financial Officer	C/O PETRO RIVER OIL COMPANY, 1980 POST OAK BLVD., SUITE 2020, HOUSTON TX 77056
Daniel J. O'connor	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	C/O SEELOS THERAPEUTICS, INC., 300 PARK AVENUE, 12TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
A.g.p. / Alliance Global Partners Corp.	10 percent owner	88 POST ROAD WEST, 2ND FLOOR, WESTPORT CT 06880