Repay Holdings (Repay Holdings) Predictability Rank

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What is Repay Holdings Predictability Rank?

Not Rated

Warren Buffett said many times that the companies he likes are:

1. Simple businesses that he understands
2. that have predictable and proven earnings and
3. with economic moat
4. those can be bought at a reasonable price.

It is hard to quantify "simple businesses that he (Buffett) understands", so we will focus on the other three characteristics instead. In GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank, we will show that the businesses that have predictable and proven earnings are usually also simple businesses that an average person could understand.

GuruFocus conducted a back test study of Warren Buffett's strategy of "buying good companies at fair prices" for the years from 1998-2008.

Repay Holdings Predictability Rank Calculation

In our database there are 2403 stocks that have been traded from Jan. 2, 1998 to Aug. 31, 2008. We have the complete 10-year financial data and trading prices of these companies for this period. We rank the predictability of these companies based on the consistency of their revenue per share and EBITDA (earning before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization) per share over the past ten fiscal years, and study the correlation between the stock performances and the predictability of the business.

Our study may be subject to these biases and assumptions:

Dividend yields are not counted for investment returns
Effects of price changes due to spin-offs may not be fully adjusted
Study is subjected to survivorship bias due to de-listing, bankruptcy, LBO, M&A, etc.

The correlation between business predictability and investment returns of a company is showed below.

Correlation Between Business Predictability and Investment Returns

	Predictables	Non-Predictable	All stocks
Total Number of stocks	570	1833	2403
Total Lost Money	61	830	891
Total Lost More Than 50%	18	412	430
Total Lost More Than 90%	4	86	90
Average Gain	260.6%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain	150.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gain	2852.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loss	-100.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	12.7%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	8.9%	1.1%	3.1%

For the 570 predictable companies, we have seen strong correlation between the predictability of businesses and the stock performances over the past 10 years, regardless of the valuation of business at 1998. Accordingly, we have ranked the business predictability from 5-star to 1-star, as shown in this table.

Predictability Rank	5-Star	4.5-Star	4-Star	3.5-Star	3-Star	2.5-Star	2-Star	1-Star (non-predictable)	Average among all
% Out of All 2403 Stocks	3.3%	2.9%	3.7%	3.3%	3.3%	3.7%	3.3%	76.3%	100%
% that are in Loss (10y)	3%	10%	8%	9%	11%	18%	16%	45%	37%
Average Gain (10y)	364.6%	330.9%	278.0%	235.1%	243.5%	227.8%	154.8%	100.0%	138.1%
Median Gain (10y)	238.5%	193.5%	171.0%	159.0%	132.5%	113.5%	87.0%	13.0%	39.0%
Maximum Gainer	2228.0%	2547.0%	2452.0%	2852.0%	2432.0%	1892.0%	1807.0%	11483.0%	11483.0%
Maximum Loser	-82.0%	-53.0%	-67.0%	-100.0%	-83.0%	-100.0%	-78.0%	-100.0%	-100.0%
Annualized Average Gain	15.4%	14.6%	13.2%	12.0%	12.2%	11.7%	9.1%	6.7%	8.4%
Annualized Median Gain	12.1%	10.6%	9.8%	9.3%	8.2%	7.3%	6.0%	1.1%	3.1%

For detailed information about each predictability rank, please go to GuruFocus Research: What worked in the market from 1998-2008? Part I: Introduction of Predictability Rank

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Repay Holdings (Repay Holdings) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » Repay Holdings Corp (NAS:RPAY) » Definitions » Predictability Rank

Comparable Companies

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Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

3 West Paces Ferry Road, Suite 200, Atlanta, GA, USA, 30305

Website

https://www.repay.com

Repay Holdings Corp is engaged in providing integrated payment processing solutions to verticals that have transaction processing needs. It allows customers to pay through Mobile App, Text, Interactive Voice Response, Virtual Terminal, Hosted Payment Page and Online Customer Portal among others. It operates in two segment, Consumer Payment and Business Payments.

Executives

Thomas Eugene Sullivan	officer: VP, Controller	3 WEST PACES FERRY ROAD, SUITE 200, ATLANTA GA 30305
Robert Herman Hartheimer	director	3232 RITTENHOUSE STREET NW, WASHINGTON DC 20015
Tyler B Dempsey	officer: General Counsel	3 WEST PACES FERRY ROAD, SUITE 200, ATLANTA GA 30305
Naomi Barnett	officer: Executive Vice President	3 WEST PACES FERRY ROAD, SUITE 200, ATLANTA GA 30305
Shaler Alias	director, officer: President	3 WEST PACES FERRY ROAD, SUITE 200, ATLANTA GA 30305
Michael Frank Jackson	officer: Chief Operating Officer	3 WEST PACES FERRY ROAD, SUITE 200, ATLANTA GA 30305
Peter J Kight	director	4411 EAST JONES BRIDGE ROAD, NORCROSS GA 30092
Morris John Andrew Sr.	director, officer: Chief Executive Officer	3 WEST PACES FERRY ROAD, SUITE 200, ATLANTA GA 30305
Timothy John Murphy	officer: Chief Financial Officer	3 WEST PACES FERRY ROAD, SUITE 200, ATLANTA GA 30305
Richard E Thornburgh	director	401 N. MAIN STREET, WINSTON-SALEM NC 27101
David M Guthrie	officer: Chief Technology Officer	3280 PEACHTREE RD NW, SUITE 1000, ATLANTA GA 30305
Emnet Legesse Rios	director	3 WEST PACES FERRY ROAD, SUITE 200, ATLANTA GA 30305
Beckham Aggregator, L.p.	10 percent owner	FOUR EMBARCADERO CENTER, SUITE 3610, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Jacob Hamilton Moore	officer: Executive Vice President	3 WEST PACES FERRY ROAD, SUITE 200, ATLANTA GA 30305
Jason Kirk	officer: Chief Technology Officer	3 WEST PACES FERRY ROAD, SUITE 200, ATLANTA GA 30305