Mirvac Group (ASX:MGR) GF Value Rank : 8 (As of Dec. 14, 2024)

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What is Mirvac Group GF Value Rank?

Mirvac Group has the GF Value Rank of 8.

The GF Value Rank is determined by the price-to-GF-Value (P/GF Value) ratio, a proprietary metric calculated based on historical multiples along with an adjustment factor based on a company's past returns and growth and future estimates of the business' performance.

GuruFocus found that for valuation, we cannot simply give stocks a better GF Value rank simply because they have a lower P/GF Value ratio. Backtesting shows that over the long term, the two worst-performing groups are the most expensive group (with the highest P/GF Value ratio) and the least expensive group (with the lowest P/GF Value ratio).

We can understand why the most expensive group underperforms. We were initially puzzled by the underperformance of the least expensive group, but we realized there is a reason why some stocks are super cheap. If they look too undervalued, it is often because the businesses behind them are poor quality. The market realized this and gave them low valuations. In a way, the market is efficient.

After multiple backtesting analyses, we granted the stocks in third-cheapest percentile the highest GF Value rank, as they have performed the best over a full market cycle. Stock performance is actually not as sensitive to valuation as it is to growth and profitability. On average, the companies in the 20%-50% valuation groups have similar performances. Therefore, we should avoid the most expensive and the least expensive stocks. We can be more tolerant of valuation.

Please click GF Score to see more details on the GF Score's 5 Key Aspects of Analysis.

Competitive Comparison of Mirvac Group's GF Value Rank

For the REIT - Diversified subindustry, Mirvac Group's GF Value Rank, along with its competitors' market caps and GF Value Rank data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Mirvac Group's GF Value Rank Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Mirvac Group's GF Value Rank distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mirvac Group's GF Value Rank falls into.

Mirvac Group GF Value Rank Related Terms

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Mirvac Group Business Description

Industry

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MRVGF:USA

Address

200 George Street, Level 28, Sydney, NSW, AUS, 2000

Website

https://www.mirvac.com

Mirvac is one of Australia's largest residential developers, particularly apartments. Residential development earnings are volatile, generating about a quarter of EBIT in fiscal 2024, despite requiring only about less than 20% of the group's invested capital. Over our 10-year discrete forecast period we don't expect residential development to exceed the lofty peaks seen in 2017, when Mirvac settled 3,400 residential lots. After an expected trough in 2025 we forecast modest growth as Mirvac constructs housing into an under-supplied market. About 80% of Mirvac's earnings come from a predictable commercial property portfolio, more than half of which is high-grade office and another fourth in retail, a small industrial portfolio, and a small but growing build-to-rent residential portfolio.

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