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Mirvac Group (ASX:MGR) Beneish M-Score : -1.25 (As of Apr. 03, 2025)


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What is Mirvac Group Beneish M-Score?

The zones of discrimination for M-Score is as such:

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator.
An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Warning Sign:

Beneish M-Score -1.25 higher than -1.78, which implies that the company might have manipulated its financial results.

The historical rank and industry rank for Mirvac Group's Beneish M-Score or its related term are showing as below:

ASX:MGR' s Beneish M-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.2   Med: -2.32   Max: -1.25
Current: -1.25

During the past 13 years, the highest Beneish M-Score of Mirvac Group was -1.25. The lowest was -3.20. And the median was -2.32.


Mirvac Group Beneish M-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Mirvac Group's Beneish M-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Mirvac Group Beneish M-Score Chart

Mirvac Group Annual Data
Trend Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23 Jun24
Beneish M-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -2.37 -3.20 -2.34 -2.29 -1.25

Mirvac Group Semi-Annual Data
Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24
Beneish M-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -2.29 - -1.25 -

Competitive Comparison of Mirvac Group's Beneish M-Score

For the REIT - Diversified subindustry, Mirvac Group's Beneish M-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Beneish M-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Mirvac Group's Beneish M-Score Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Mirvac Group's Beneish M-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mirvac Group's Beneish M-Score falls into.


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Mirvac Group Beneish M-Score Calculation

The M-score was created by Professor Messod Beneish. Instead of measuring the bankruptcy risk (Altman Z-Score) or business trend (Piotroski F-Score), M-score can be used to detect the risk of earnings manipulation. This is the original research paper on M-score.

The M-Score Variables:

The M-score of Mirvac Group for today is based on a combination of the following eight different indices:

M=-4.84+0.92 * DSRI+0.528 * GMI+0.404 * AQI+0.892 * SGI+0.115 * DEPI
=-4.84+0.92 * 1.4379+0.528 * 1.5694+0.404 * 0.9917+0.892 * 1.6362+0.115 * 0.9172
-0.172 * SGAI+4.679 * TATA-0.327 * LVGI
-0.172 * 0.5429+4.679 * -0.0153-0.327 * 1.1211
=-1.25

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

This Year (Jun24) TTM:Last Year (Jun23) TTM:
Total Receivables was A$407 Mil.
Revenue was A$2,950 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$833 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$2,530 Mil.
Total Assets was A$15,556 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$23 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$75 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$151 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$1,684 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$4,290 Mil.
Net Income was A$-805 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$-1,109 Mil.
Cash Flow from Operations was A$542 Mil.
Total Receivables was A$173 Mil.
Revenue was A$1,803 Mil.
Gross Profit was A$799 Mil.
Total Current Assets was A$2,622 Mil.
Total Assets was A$16,882 Mil.
Property, Plant and Equipment(Net PPE) was A$31 Mil.
Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization(DDA) was A$73 Mil.
Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) was A$170 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was A$1,501 Mil.
Long-Term Debt & Capital Lease Obligation was A$4,282 Mil.




1. DSRI = Days Sales in Receivables Index

Measured as the ratio of Revenue in Total Receivables in year t to year t-1.

A large increase in DSR could be indicative of revenue inflation.

DSRI=(Receivables_t / Revenue_t) / (Receivables_t-1 / Revenue_t-1)
=(407 / 2950) / (173 / 1803)
=0.137966 / 0.095951
=1.4379

2. GMI = Gross Margin Index

Measured as the ratio of gross margin in year t-1 to gross margin in year t.

Gross margin has deteriorated when this index is above 1. A firm with poorer prospects is more likely to manipulate earnings.

GMI=GrossMargin_t-1 / GrossMargin_t
=(GrossProfit_t-1 / Revenue_t-1) / (GrossProfit_t / Revenue_t)
=(799 / 1803) / (833 / 2950)
=0.44315 / 0.282373
=1.5694

3. AQI = Asset Quality Index

AQI is the ratio of asset quality in year t to year t-1.

Asset quality is measured as the ratio of non-current assets other than Property, Plant and Equipment to Total Assets.

AQI=(1 - (CurrentAssets_t + PPE_t) / TotalAssets_t) / (1 - (CurrentAssets_t-1 + PPE_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=(1 - (2530 + 23) / 15556) / (1 - (2622 + 31) / 16882)
=0.835883 / 0.84285
=0.9917

4. SGI = Sales Growth Index

Ratio of Revenue in year t to sales in year t-1.

Sales growth is not itself a measure of manipulation. However, growth companies are likely to find themselves under pressure to manipulate in order to keep up appearances.

SGI=Sales_t / Sales_t-1
=Revenue_t / Revenue_t-1
=2950 / 1803
=1.6362

5. DEPI = Depreciation Index

Measured as the ratio of the rate of Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization in year t-1 to the corresponding rate in year t.

DEPI greater than 1 indicates that assets are being depreciated at a slower rate. This suggests that the firm might be revising useful asset life assumptions upwards, or adopting a new method that is income friendly.

DEPI=(Depreciation_t-1 / (Depreciaton_t-1 + PPE_t-1)) / (Depreciation_t / (Depreciaton_t + PPE_t))
=(73 / (73 + 31)) / (75 / (75 + 23))
=0.701923 / 0.765306
=0.9172

Note: If the Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization data is not available, we assume that the depreciation rate is constant and set the Depreciation Index to 1.

6. SGAI = Sales, General and Administrative expenses Index

The ratio of Selling, General, & Admin. Expense(SGA) to Sales in year t relative to year t-1.

SGA expenses index > 1 means that the company is becoming less efficient in generate sales.

SGAI=(SGA_t / Sales_t) / (SGA_t-1 /Sales_t-1)
=(151 / 2950) / (170 / 1803)
=0.051186 / 0.094287
=0.5429

7. LVGI = Leverage Index

The ratio of total debt to Total Assets in year t relative to yeat t-1.

An LVGI > 1 indicates an increase in leverage

LVGI=((LTD_t + CurrentLiabilities_t) / TotalAssets_t) / ((LTD_t-1 + CurrentLiabilities_t-1) / TotalAssets_t-1)
=((4290 + 1684) / 15556) / ((4282 + 1501) / 16882)
=0.384032 / 0.342554
=1.1211

8. TATA = Total Accruals to Total Assets

Total accruals calculated as the change in working capital accounts other than cash less depreciation.

TATA=(IncomefromContinuingOperations_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(NetIncome_t - NonOperatingIncome_t - CashFlowsfromOperations_t) / TotalAssets_t
=(-805 - -1109 - 542) / 15556
=-0.0153

An M-Score of equal or less than -1.78 suggests that the company is unlikely to be a manipulator. An M-Score of greater than -1.78 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.

Mirvac Group has a M-score of -1.25 signals that the company is likely to be a manipulator.


Mirvac Group Beneish M-Score Related Terms

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Mirvac Group Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
200 George Street, Level 28, Sydney, NSW, AUS, 2000
Mirvac started off as a residential property developer and over time expanded into property investment, funds management, and commercial property development. Investment is the major earnings driver, generating about two thirds of group earnings. The investment portfolio, by book value, is made up of 60% office, 20% retail, 15% industrial and the rest is build-to-rent and land lease assets. Longer-term, Mirvac aims to increase exposure to the industrial and living sectors and own fewer offices and retail centers. Development income is volatile and was around a third of fiscal 2024 group earnings. Besides developing apartments and houses, which Mirvac is best known for, it is also involved in commercial and mixed-use precinct developments.

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