Alpha Real Estate Services (ATH:ASTAK) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 14.46% (As of Dec. 2025)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

ATH:ASTAK Alpha Real Estate Services SA ATH:ASTAK
77 GF Score
Price €7.00
GF Value €12.92
Valuation Significantly Undervalued
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is Alpha Real Estate Services Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Alpha Real Estate Services ATH:ASTAK 77 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 14.46% as of Dec. 2025. GuruFocus rates ATH:ASTAK with a GF Score™ of 77/100 and a GF Value™ of €12.92 (Significantly Undervalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 1,316 Real Estate companies, Alpha Real Estate Services ranks better than 62.16% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Alpha Real Estate Services's forward rate of return for was 14.46%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Alpha Real Estate Services's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

ATH:ASTAK' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -24.18   Med: -2.96   Max: 14.66
Current: 13.58

During the past 13 years, Alpha Real Estate Services's highest Forward Rate of Return was 14.66. The lowest was -24.18. And the median was -2.96.

ATH:ASTAK's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
62.16% of 1316 companies
in the Real Estate industry
Industry Median: 6.51 vs ATH:ASTAK: 13.58

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Alpha Real Estate Services  (ATH:ASTAK) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Alpha Real Estate Services Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Alpha Real Estate Services Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Alpha Real Estate Services's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Alpha Real Estate Services Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Alpha Real Estate Services Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - -21.54 -2.44 14.46

Alpha Real Estate Services Semi-Annual Data
Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

ATH:ASTAK vs CBRE, BEKE, JLL: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Real Estate Services subindustry, Alpha Real Estate Services's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Alpha Real Estate Services Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Alpha Real Estate Services's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Alpha Real Estate Services's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


ATH:ASTAK
77GF Score
Alpha Real Estate Services SA ATH:ASTAK
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Alpha Real Estate Services Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Alpha Real Estate Services's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2025 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=-0.40783333/7.36+0.2
=14.46 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 14.46% mean?
Alpha Real Estate Services (ATH:ASTAK) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 14.46% as of Dec. 2025. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Alpha Real Estate Services and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Alpha Real Estate Services ranks #498 out of 1316 companies in the Real Estate industry, placing it in the top 37.8%.
Is Alpha Real Estate Services' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Alpha Real Estate Services' current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 14.46%. The Real Estate industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.51. Alpha Real Estate Services' value of 14.46% is 122.1% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Alpha Real Estate Services ranks #498 out of 1316 companies in the Real Estate industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Alpha Real Estate Services has a GF Score™ of 77/100 and is considered Significantly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Alpha Real Estate Services' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to CBRE and BEKE?
According to the Real Estate industry distribution chart, Alpha Real Estate Services ranks #498 out of 1316 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This puts Alpha Real Estate Services in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.51. Alpha Real Estate Services' value of 14.46% is 122.1% above this benchmark. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Real Estate company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Real Estate companies is 6.51, based on 1,316 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Alpha Real Estate Services's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 14.46% is 122.1% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Alpha Real Estate Services and its competitors. For the Real Estate industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.51 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Alpha Real Estate Services's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 14.46%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Alpha Real Estate Services stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alpha Real Estate Services (ATH:ASTAK) is currently considered Significantly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is €12.92, compared to a current price of €7.00 — trading 45.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 14.46% and 122.1% above the Real Estate industry median of 6.51. Alpha Real Estate Services' overall GF Score™ is 77/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Alpha Real Estate Services (ATH:ASTAK), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 14.46% as of Dec. 2025. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Alpha Real Estate Services (ATH:ASTAK) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Alpha Real Estate Services stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of €7.00 is trading 45.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of €12.92. GuruFocus considers Alpha Real Estate Services to be Significantly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for ATH:ASTAK:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 14.46%
  • GF Value™: €12.92 vs. price of €7.00 (45.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 77/100 with 1 warning sign
  • Industry Position: 122.1% above the Real Estate median (#498 of 1316)

No single metric tells the full story. See the ATH:ASTAK stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Alpha Real Estate Services Business Description

Address Stadiou 24, Athens, GRC, 10561
Alpha Real Estate Services SA is engaged in the management and exploitation of properties owned by it or third parties, the provision of technical advice on related matters, the provision of real estate and brokerage services, the preparation of studies of all kinds, the provision of general advice on the above matters, the carrying out of assessments and valuations of assets and mechanical equipment and in general assessments on behalf of third parties on related matters.
77GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ATH:ASTAK

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€7.00
Price
€12.92
GF Value