Ichitan Group PCL (BKK:ICHI-R) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 24.85% (As of Mar. 2026) — 16% Above Median

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BKK:ICHI-R Ichitan Group PCL BKK:ICHI-R
94 GF Score
Price ฿10.60
GF Value ฿11.00
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Ichitan Group PCL Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Ichitan Group PCL BKK:ICHI-R 94 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 24.85% as of Mar. 2026, which is 16% above its 10-year median of 21.41. GuruFocus rates BKK:ICHI-R with a GF Score™ of 94/100 and a GF Value™ of ฿11.00. The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 82 Beverages - Non-Alcoholic companies, Ichitan Group PCL ranks better than 92.68% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Ichitan Group PCL's forward rate of return for was 24.85%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ichitan Group PCL's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

BKK:ICHI-R' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -14.95   Med: 21.41   Max: 27.92
Current: 23.73

During the past 13 years, Ichitan Group PCL's highest Forward Rate of Return was 27.92. The lowest was -14.95. And the median was 21.41.

BKK:ICHI-R's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
92.68% of 82 companies
in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry
Industry Median: 11.86 vs BKK:ICHI-R: 23.73

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Ichitan Group PCL  (BKK:ICHI-R) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Ichitan Group PCL Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Ichitan Group PCL Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Ichitan Group PCL's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Ichitan Group PCL Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Ichitan Group PCL Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 19.35 21.67 24.39 24.95 24.04

Ichitan Group PCL Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 26.75 26.53 25.29 24.04 24.85

BKK:ICHI-R vs KO, PEP, MNST: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic subindustry, Ichitan Group PCL's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ichitan Group PCL Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Ichitan Group PCL's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ichitan Group PCL's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


BKK:ICHI-R
94GF Score
Ichitan Group PCL BKK:ICHI-R
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Ichitan Group PCL Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Ichitan Group PCL's Forward Rate of Return of Mar. 2026 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.94380952/10.6+0.1718
=26.08 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 24.85% mean?
Ichitan Group PCL (BKK:ICHI-R) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 24.85% as of Mar. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Ichitan Group PCL and its competitors. This is 16% above median its historical median of 21.41. According to the industry distribution chart, Ichitan Group PCL ranks #6 out of 82 companies in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry, placing it in the top 7.3%.
Is Ichitan Group PCL's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Ichitan Group PCL's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 24.85% is 16% above median its 10-year median of 21.41. The Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 11.86. Ichitan Group PCL's value of 24.85% is 109.5% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Ichitan Group PCL ranks #6 out of 82 companies in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Ichitan Group PCL has a GF Score™ of 94/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Ichitan Group PCL's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to KO and PEP?
According to the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry distribution chart, Ichitan Group PCL ranks #6 out of 82 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places Ichitan Group PCL in the top 7% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 11.86. Ichitan Group PCL's value of 24.85% is 109.5% above this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 21.41 vs. the industry median of 11.86, Ichitan Group PCL has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Beverages - Non-Alcoholic company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Beverages - Non-Alcoholic companies is 11.86, based on 82 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Ichitan Group PCL's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 24.85% is 109.5% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Ichitan Group PCL and its competitors. For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 11.86 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Ichitan Group PCL's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 24.85%, which is 16% above median its own 10-year median of 21.41. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Ichitan Group PCL stock overvalued right now?
Ichitan Group PCL (BKK:ICHI-R) has a current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 24.85%. The stock's GF Value™ is ฿11.00, compared to a current price of ฿10.60 — trading 3.6% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 24.85%, which is 16% above median its 10-year median of 21.41 and 109.5% above the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry median of 11.86. Ichitan Group PCL's overall GF Score™ is 94/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Ichitan Group PCL (BKK:ICHI-R), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 24.85% as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Ichitan Group PCL (BKK:ICHI-R) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ichitan Group PCL stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of ฿10.60 is trading 3.6% below its estimated GF Value™ of ฿11.00.

Key valuation signals for BKK:ICHI-R:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 24.85% (16% above median its 10-year median of 21.41)
  • GF Value™: ฿11.00 vs. price of ฿10.60 (3.6% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 94/100 with 7 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 109.5% above the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median (#6 of 82)

No single metric tells the full story. See the BKK:ICHI-R stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Ichitan Group PCL Business Description

Other Exchanges ICHI:Thailand
Address Sukhumvit 40 Alley, No. 8 T-One Building, 42nd - 44th Floor, Phra Khanong Sub-District, Khlong Toei District, Bangkok, THA, 10110
Ichitan Group PCL manufactures and sells ready-to-drink tea beverages in Thailand. It manufactures and sells ready to drink green tea beverage, herbal drink, and low-sugar ready-to-drink tea beverage, under the brand name of Ichitan Green Tea. Majority of the revenue for the company is generated from Thailand and rest from overseas markets.
94GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BKK:ICHI-R

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

฿10.60
Price
฿11.00
GF Value