Simpar (BSP:SIMH3) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: -103.45% (As of Mar. 2026)

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

BSP:SIMH3 Simpar SA BSP:SIMH3
78 GF Score
Price R$6.16
GF Value R$13.33
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 7 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Simpar Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Simpar BSP:SIMH3 78 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -103.45% as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus rates BSP:SIMH3 with a GF Score™ of 78/100 and a GF Value™ of R$13.33 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 720 Business Services companies, Simpar ranks worse than 99.44% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Simpar's forward rate of return for was -103.45%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Simpar's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

BSP:SIMH3' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -210.46   Med: -124.79   Max: -84.3
Current: -210.46

During the past 6 years, Simpar's highest Forward Rate of Return was -84.30. The lowest was -210.46. And the median was -124.79.

BSP:SIMH3's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
99.44% of 720 companies
in the Business Services industry
Industry Median: 13.345 vs BSP:SIMH3: -210.46

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Simpar  (BSP:SIMH3) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Simpar Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Simpar Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Simpar's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Simpar Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Simpar Annual Data
Trend Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -125.95

Simpar Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -169.65 -124.25 -116.50 -125.95 -103.45

BSP:SIMH3 vs URI, SUNB, AER: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Rental & Leasing Services subindustry, Simpar's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Simpar Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Simpar's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Simpar's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


BSP:SIMH3
78GF Score
Simpar SA BSP:SIMH3
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Simpar Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Simpar's Forward Rate of Return of Mar. 2026 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=-14.19619048/11.5+0.2
=-103.45 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of -103.45% mean?
Simpar (BSP:SIMH3) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of -103.45% as of Mar. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Simpar and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, Simpar ranks #716 out of 720 companies in the Business Services industry, placing it in the top 99.4%.
Is Simpar's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Simpar's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -103.45%. Based on the distribution chart, Simpar ranks #716 out of 720 companies in the Business Services industry, which is in the bottom quartile relative to peers. Overall, Simpar has a GF Score™ of 78/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Simpar's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to URI and SUNB?
According to the Business Services industry distribution chart, Simpar ranks #716 out of 720 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places Simpar in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 13.35. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Business Services company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Business Services companies is 13.35, based on 720 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Simpar and its competitors. For the Business Services industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 13.35 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Simpar's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -103.45%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Simpar stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Simpar (BSP:SIMH3) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is R$13.33, compared to a current price of R$6.16 — trading 53.8% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -103.45%. Simpar's overall GF Score™ is 78/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Simpar (BSP:SIMH3), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -103.45% as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Simpar (BSP:SIMH3) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Simpar stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of R$6.16 is trading 53.8% below its estimated GF Value™ of R$13.33. GuruFocus considers Simpar to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for BSP:SIMH3:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: -103.45%
  • GF Value™: R$13.33 vs. price of R$6.16 (53.8% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 78/100 with 7 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the BSP:SIMH3 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Simpar Business Description

Address Rua Dr. Renato Paes de Barros no 1017, 10th Floor, conjunto 101, Itaim Bibi, Sao Paulo, SP, BRA, 04530-001
Simpar SA is a holding company, through its subsidiaries is engaged in road logistics services; rental and sale of trucks, machinery and equipment; public sector and mixed economy services; dealership of light vehicles; leasing, freight payment and financial services; and car rental of light vehicles. The group operates in seven reportable segments JSL, Movida, Vamos, CS Brasil, CS Infra, Automob, and BBC.
78GF Score

Get the complete analysis for BSP:SIMH3

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

R$6.16
Price
R$13.33
GF Value