Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. CSPC Pharmaceutical Group's forward rate of return for was -0.36%.
The historical rank and industry rank for CSPC Pharmaceutical Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
CSPCY'
s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -3.42 Med: 15.56 Max: 23.48
Current: -0.48
During the past 13 years, CSPC Pharmaceutical Group's highest Forward Rate of Return was 23.48. The lowest was -3.42. And the median was 15.56.
CSPCY's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than 64.58% of 638
companies
in the Drug Manufacturers industry
Industry Median: 6.17
vs CSPCY: -0.48
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (OTCPK:CSPCY) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
CSPC Pharmaceutical Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
CSPC Pharmaceutical Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for CSPC Pharmaceutical Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
CSPC Pharmaceutical Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
CSPCY vs LLY, JNJ, ABBV: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison
For the Drug Manufacturers - General subindustry, CSPC Pharmaceutical Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
CSPC Pharmaceutical Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Drug Manufacturers Industry
For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, CSPC Pharmaceutical Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where CSPC Pharmaceutical Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
CSPC Pharmaceutical Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of -0.36% mean?
CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (CSPCY) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of -0.36% as of Dec. 2025. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on CSPC Pharmaceutical Group and its competitors. According to the industry distribution chart, CSPC Pharmaceutical Group ranks #412 out of 638 companies in the Drug Manufacturers industry, placing it in the top 64.6%.
Is CSPC Pharmaceutical Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
CSPC Pharmaceutical Group's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -0.36%. Based on the distribution chart, CSPC Pharmaceutical Group ranks #412 out of 638 companies in the Drug Manufacturers industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, CSPC Pharmaceutical Group has a GF Score™ of 77/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does CSPC Pharmaceutical Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to LLY and JNJ?
According to the Drug Manufacturers industry distribution chart, CSPC Pharmaceutical Group ranks #412 out of 638 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places CSPC Pharmaceutical Group in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.17. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Drug Manufacturers company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Drug Manufacturers companies is 6.17, based on 638 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on CSPC Pharmaceutical Group and its competitors. For the Drug Manufacturers industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.17 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. CSPC Pharmaceutical Group's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -0.36%. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is CSPC Pharmaceutical Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (CSPCY) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $3.51, compared to a current price of $4.39 — trading 25.1% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -0.36%. CSPC Pharmaceutical Group's overall GF Score™ is 77/100 with 3 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (CSPCY), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is -0.36% as of Dec. 2025. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (CSPCY) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, CSPC Pharmaceutical Group stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $4.39 is trading 25.1% above its estimated GF Value™ of $3.51.
GuruFocus considers CSPC Pharmaceutical Group to be Modestly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for CSPCY:
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: -0.36%
GF Value™: $3.51 vs. price of $4.39 (25.1% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the CSPCY stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
CSPC Pharmaceutical Group LTD is engaged in the manufacture and sale of pharmaceutical products. The group's segments include: Finished drugs, consisting research and development, manufacture and sale of pharmaceutical products and license fee income; Bulk products, that manufacture and sale of vitamin C, and antibiotic products in bulk powder form; and Functional food and others, that manufacture and sale of functional food products (including caffeine food additives, anhydrous glucose, acarbose and vitamin C buccal tablets), provision of healthcare service and others. It derives maximum revenue from Finished Products segments. Geographically, the company operates in Chinese Mainland, which Chinese Mainland generates maximum revenue; Other Asian regions; Europe; North America; and Others.
77GF Score
Get the complete analysis for CSPCY
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
Quick Browse
Personalize
Premium Gurus 
Create New Portfolio
CSPCY has been successfully added to your 
