DFDDF (DFDS AS) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 19.95% (As of Mar. 2026) — 15% Below Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

DFDDF DFDS AS DFDDF
67 GF Score
Price $20.64
GF Value $23.80
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is DFDS AS Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

DFDS AS DFDDF 67 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 19.95% as of Mar. 2026, which is 15% below its 10-year median of 23.38. GuruFocus rates DFDDF with a GF Score™ of 67/100 and a GF Value™ of $23.80 (Modestly Undervalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 752 Transportation companies, DFDS AS ranks better than 63.7% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. DFDS AS's forward rate of return for was 19.95%.

The historical rank and industry rank for DFDS AS's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

DFDDF' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -7.05   Med: 23.38   Max: 51.66
Current: 16.57

During the past 13 years, DFDS AS's highest Forward Rate of Return was 51.66. The lowest was -7.05. And the median was 23.38.

DFDDF's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
63.7% of 752 companies
in the Transportation industry
Industry Median: 11.03 vs DFDDF: 16.57

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


DFDS AS  (OTCPK:DFDDF) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


DFDS AS Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


DFDS AS Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for DFDS AS's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

DFDS AS Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

DFDS AS Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -7.05 4.13 20.45 39.20 29.89

DFDS AS Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 48.43 41.38 38.56 29.89 19.95

DFDS AS Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Competitor Comparison

For the Marine Shipping subindustry, DFDS AS's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


DFDS AS Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, DFDS AS's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where DFDS AS's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


DFDDF
67GF Score
DFDS AS DFDDF
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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DFDS AS Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

DFDS AS's Forward Rate of Return of Mar. 2026 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=4.68057143/15.8+-0.1058
=19.04 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 19.95% mean?
DFDS AS (DFDDF) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 19.95% as of Mar. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on DFDS AS and its competitors. This is 15% below median its historical median of 23.38. According to the industry distribution chart, DFDS AS ranks #273 out of 752 companies in the Transportation industry, placing it in the top 36.3%.
Is DFDS AS's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
DFDS AS's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 19.95% is 15% below median its 10-year median of 23.38. The Transportation industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 11.03. DFDS AS's value of 19.95% is 80.9% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, DFDS AS ranks #273 out of 752 companies in the Transportation industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, DFDS AS has a GF Score™ of 67/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does DFDS AS's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to competitors?
According to the Transportation industry distribution chart, DFDS AS ranks #273 out of 752 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This puts DFDS AS in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 11.03. DFDS AS's value of 19.95% is 80.9% above this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 23.38 vs. the industry median of 11.03, DFDS AS has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Transportation company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Transportation companies is 11.03, based on 752 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. DFDS AS's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 19.95% is 80.9% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on DFDS AS and its competitors. For the Transportation industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 11.03 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. DFDS AS's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 19.95%, which is 15% below median its own 10-year median of 23.38. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is DFDS AS stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, DFDS AS (DFDDF) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $23.80, compared to a current price of $20.64 — trading 13.3% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 19.95%, which is 15% below median its 10-year median of 23.38 and 80.9% above the Transportation industry median of 11.03. DFDS AS's overall GF Score™ is 67/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For DFDS AS (DFDDF), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 19.95% as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is DFDS AS (DFDDF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, DFDS AS stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $20.64 is trading 13.3% below its estimated GF Value™ of $23.80. GuruFocus considers DFDS AS to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for DFDDF:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 19.95% (15% below median its 10-year median of 23.38)
  • GF Value™: $23.80 vs. price of $20.64 (13.3% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 67/100 with 8 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 80.9% above the Transportation median (#273 of 752)

No single metric tells the full story. See the DFDDF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


DFDS AS Business Description

Address Marmorvej 18, Copenhagen, DNK, DK-2100
DFDS AS is a transportation and logistics company domiciled in Denmark. The two main divisions are the ferry division and the logistics division. The ferry division operates ferry routes around Europe, transporting freight, passengers, and passenger cruise ferries. The logistics division provides transport solutions for full and part loads as well as contract logistics solutions, including warehousing. Its main customers include manufacturers of industrial goods. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the ferry division. It has a presence in geographical markets such as the North Sea, the Mediterranean, the Baltic and Channel, Continental, Nordic, and the UK/Ireland.
67GF Score

Get the complete analysis for DFDDF

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$20.64
Price
$23.80
GF Value