EVGPF (Evergrande Property Services Group) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 20.45% (As of Dec. 2025) — 34% Below Median

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EVGPF Evergrande Property Services Group Ltd EVGPF
46 GF Score
Price $0.13
GF Value $0.11
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Evergrande Property Services Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Evergrande Property Services Group EVGPF 46 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 20.45% as of Dec. 2025, which is 34% below its 10-year median of 31.07. GuruFocus rates EVGPF with a GF Score™ of 46/100 and a GF Value™ of $0.11 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 1,312 Real Estate companies, Evergrande Property Services Group ranks better than 76.14% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Evergrande Property Services Group's forward rate of return for was 20.45%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Evergrande Property Services Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

EVGPF' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 17.34   Med: 31.07   Max: 72.66
Current: 20.7

During the past 9 years, Evergrande Property Services Group's highest Forward Rate of Return was 72.66. The lowest was 17.34. And the median was 31.07.

EVGPF's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
76.14% of 1312 companies
in the Real Estate industry
Industry Median: 6.57 vs EVGPF: 20.70

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Evergrande Property Services Group  (OTCPK:EVGPF) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Evergrande Property Services Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Evergrande Property Services Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Evergrande Property Services Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Evergrande Property Services Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Evergrande Property Services Group Annual Data
Trend Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only 0.00 27.46 59.21 29.63 20.45

Evergrande Property Services Group Semi-Annual Data
Dec17 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 59.21 0.00 29.63 0.00 20.45

EVGPF vs CBRE, BEKE, JLL: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Real Estate Services subindustry, Evergrande Property Services Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Evergrande Property Services Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Evergrande Property Services Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Evergrande Property Services Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


EVGPF
46GF Score
Evergrande Property Services Group Ltd EVGPF
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Evergrande Property Services Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Evergrande Property Services Group's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2025 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.02816667/0.15+0.02
=20.78 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 20.45% mean?
Evergrande Property Services Group (EVGPF) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 20.45% as of Dec. 2025. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Evergrande Property Services Group and its competitors. This is 34% below median its historical median of 31.07. Over the past decade, Evergrande Property Services Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 17.34 to 72.66. According to the industry distribution chart, Evergrande Property Services Group ranks #313 out of 1312 companies in the Real Estate industry, placing it in the top 23.9%.
Is Evergrande Property Services Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Evergrande Property Services Group's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 20.45% is 34% below median its 10-year median of 31.07. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 17.34 to a high of 72.66. The Real Estate industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.57. Evergrande Property Services Group's value of 20.45% is 211.3% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Evergrande Property Services Group ranks #313 out of 1312 companies in the Real Estate industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Evergrande Property Services Group has a GF Score™ of 46/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Evergrande Property Services Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to CBRE and BEKE?
According to the Real Estate industry distribution chart, Evergrande Property Services Group ranks #313 out of 1312 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places Evergrande Property Services Group in the top 24% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.57. Evergrande Property Services Group's value of 20.45% is 211.3% above this benchmark. Historically, Evergrande Property Services Group's own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 17.34 to 72.66 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 31.07 vs. the industry median of 6.57, Evergrande Property Services Group has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Real Estate company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Real Estate companies is 6.57, based on 1,312 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Evergrande Property Services Group's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 20.45% is 211.3% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Evergrande Property Services Group and its competitors. For the Real Estate industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.57 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Evergrande Property Services Group's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 20.45%, which is 34% below median its own 10-year median of 31.07. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Evergrande Property Services Group stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Evergrande Property Services Group (EVGPF) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $0.11, compared to a current price of $0.13 — trading 18.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 20.45%, which is 34% below median its 10-year median of 31.07 and 211.3% above the Real Estate industry median of 6.57. Evergrande Property Services Group's overall GF Score™ is 46/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Evergrande Property Services Group (EVGPF), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 20.45% as of Dec. 2025. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Evergrande Property Services Group (EVGPF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Evergrande Property Services Group stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of $0.13 is trading 18.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of $0.11. GuruFocus considers Evergrande Property Services Group to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for EVGPF:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 20.45% (34% below median its 10-year median of 31.07)
  • GF Value™: $0.11 vs. price of $0.13 (18.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 46/100 with 2 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 211.3% above the Real Estate median (#313 of 1312)

No single metric tells the full story. See the EVGPF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Evergrande Property Services Group Business Description

Other Exchanges 06666:Hong Kong
Address No. 78, Huangpu Avenue West, Third Compartment of Room 3101, Tianhe District, Guangdong, Guangzhou, CHN, 510660
Evergrande Property Services Group Ltd is an investment holding company engaged in the provision of property management services, community living services, asset management services, and community operation services. The company generates revenue from four business segments: Property management services; Community living services; Asset management services; and Community operation services. Its Product services are Hengmei Community, Commercial & Enterprise Services, Industrial Parks, and other Services. The company generates the majority of its revenue from Property Management Services.
46GF Score

Get the complete analysis for EVGPF

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$0.13
Price
$0.11
GF Value