PT Siantar Top Tbk (ISX:STTP) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 25.45% (As of Jun. 2026) — 15% Above Median

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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ISX:STTP PT Siantar Top Tbk ISX:STTP
87 GF Score
Price Rp9,450.00
GF Value Rp11,378.47
Valuation Modestly Undervalued
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What is PT Siantar Top Tbk Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

PT Siantar Top Tbk ISX:STTP -0.26% 87 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 25.45% as of Jun. 2026, which is 15% above its 10-year median of 22.07. GuruFocus rates ISX:STTP with a GF Score™ of 87/100 and a GF Value™ of Rp11,378.47 (Modestly Undervalued). Among 1,404 Consumer Packaged Goods companies, PT Siantar Top Tbk ranks better than 91.6% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. PT Siantar Top Tbk's forward rate of return for was 25.45%.

The historical rank and industry rank for PT Siantar Top Tbk's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

ISX:STTP' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 17.92   Med: 22.07   Max: 25.87
Current: 25.87

During the past 13 years, PT Siantar Top Tbk's highest Forward Rate of Return was 25.87. The lowest was 17.92. And the median was 22.07.

ISX:STTP's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
91.6% of 1404 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 8.325 vs ISX:STTP: 25.87

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


PT Siantar Top Tbk  (ISX:STTP) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


PT Siantar Top Tbk Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


PT Siantar Top Tbk Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for PT Siantar Top Tbk's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

PT Siantar Top Tbk Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

PT Siantar Top Tbk Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 23.80 22.05 20.58 20.47 24.87

PT Siantar Top Tbk Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 23.17 23.80 24.87 25.08 25.45

ISX:STTP vs KHC, GIS: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, PT Siantar Top Tbk's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PT Siantar Top Tbk Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, PT Siantar Top Tbk's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PT Siantar Top Tbk's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


ISX:STTP
87GF Score
PT Siantar Top Tbk ISX:STTP
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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PT Siantar Top Tbk Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

PT Siantar Top Tbk's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2026 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=683.29695238/10000+0.1862
=25.45 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 25.45% mean?
PT Siantar Top Tbk (ISX:STTP) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 25.45% as of Jun. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on PT Siantar Top Tbk and its competitors. This is 15% above median its historical median of 22.07. Over the past decade, PT Siantar Top Tbk's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 17.92 to 25.87. According to the industry distribution chart, PT Siantar Top Tbk ranks #118 out of 1404 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, placing it in the top 8.4%.
Is PT Siantar Top Tbk's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
PT Siantar Top Tbk's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 25.45% is 15% above median its 10-year median of 22.07. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 17.92 to a high of 25.87. The Consumer Packaged Goods industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 8.33. PT Siantar Top Tbk's value of 25.45% is 205.7% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, PT Siantar Top Tbk ranks #118 out of 1404 companies in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, PT Siantar Top Tbk has a GF Score™ of 87/100 and is considered Modestly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does PT Siantar Top Tbk's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to KHC and GIS?
According to the Consumer Packaged Goods industry distribution chart, PT Siantar Top Tbk ranks #118 out of 1404 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places PT Siantar Top Tbk in the top 8% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 8.33. PT Siantar Top Tbk's value of 25.45% is 205.7% above this benchmark. Historically, PT Siantar Top Tbk's own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 17.92 to 25.87 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 22.07 vs. the industry median of 8.33, PT Siantar Top Tbk has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Consumer Packaged Goods company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Consumer Packaged Goods companies is 8.33, based on 1,404 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. PT Siantar Top Tbk's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 25.45% is 205.7% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on PT Siantar Top Tbk and its competitors. For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 8.33 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. PT Siantar Top Tbk's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 25.45%, which is 15% above median its own 10-year median of 22.07. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is PT Siantar Top Tbk stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PT Siantar Top Tbk (ISX:STTP) is currently considered Modestly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is Rp11,378.47, compared to a current price of Rp9,450.00 — trading 16.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 25.45%, which is 15% above median its 10-year median of 22.07 and 205.7% above the Consumer Packaged Goods industry median of 8.33. PT Siantar Top Tbk's overall GF Score™ is 87/100. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For PT Siantar Top Tbk (ISX:STTP), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 25.45% as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is PT Siantar Top Tbk (ISX:STTP) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, PT Siantar Top Tbk stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of Rp9,450.00 is trading 16.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of Rp11,378.47. GuruFocus considers PT Siantar Top Tbk to be Modestly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for ISX:STTP:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 25.45% (15% above median its 10-year median of 22.07)
  • GF Value™: Rp11,378.47 vs. price of Rp9,450.00 (16.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 87/100
  • Industry Position: 205.7% above the Consumer Packaged Goods median (#118 of 1404)

No single metric tells the full story. See the ISX:STTP stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


PT Siantar Top Tbk Business Description

Address Jalan Tambak Sawah No. 21-23, Waru, Sidoarjo, IDN, 61256
PT Siantar Top Tbk is a snack manufacturing company. The company is principally engaged in the manufacturing of snacks such as crackers, noodles, candies, biscuits, and wafers. The company has two operating segments include the food processing segment, from the sales of rice, crackers, biscuits, wafers, and candy, and other segments that arise from the sales of flour and seasoning. The majority of the revenue is made from the food processing segment. The company operates in three key geographic locations of food processing in Sidoarjo, Medan and Bekasi.
87GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ISX:STTP

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

Rp9,450.00
Price
Rp11,378.47
GF Value