JIUMF (Jiumaojiu International Holdings) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 26.26% (As of Dec. 2025) — 12% Above Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

JIUMF Jiumaojiu International Holdings Ltd JIUMF
52 GF Score
Price $0.16
GF Value $0.51
Valuation Possible Value Trap
! 7 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Jiumaojiu International Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Jiumaojiu International Holdings JIUMF 52 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 26.26% as of Dec. 2025, which is 12% above its 10-year median of 23.47. GuruFocus rates JIUMF with a GF Score™ of 52/100 and a GF Value™ of $0.51 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 254 Restaurants companies, Jiumaojiu International Holdings ranks better than 90.16% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Jiumaojiu International Holdings's forward rate of return for was 26.26%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Jiumaojiu International Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

JIUMF' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 20.09   Med: 23.47   Max: 42.31
Current: 38.81

During the past 10 years, Jiumaojiu International Holdings's highest Forward Rate of Return was 42.31. The lowest was 20.09. And the median was 23.47.

JIUMF's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
90.16% of 254 companies
in the Restaurants industry
Industry Median: 14.615 vs JIUMF: 38.81

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Jiumaojiu International Holdings  (OTCPK:JIUMF) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Jiumaojiu International Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Jiumaojiu International Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Jiumaojiu International Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Jiumaojiu International Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Jiumaojiu International Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 21.51 21.63 21.98 15.40 26.26

Jiumaojiu International Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25 Jun26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 22.05 19.70 17.44 25.29 17.52

JIUMF vs MCD, SBUX, CMG: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Restaurants subindustry, Jiumaojiu International Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Jiumaojiu International Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Jiumaojiu International Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Jiumaojiu International Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


JIUMF
52GF Score
Jiumaojiu International Holdings Ltd JIUMF
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Jiumaojiu International Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Jiumaojiu International Holdings's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2025 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.051/0.2658+0.0707
=26.26 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 26.26% mean?
Jiumaojiu International Holdings (JIUMF) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 26.26% as of Dec. 2025. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Jiumaojiu International Holdings and its competitors. This is 12% above median its historical median of 23.47. Over the past decade, Jiumaojiu International Holdings' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 20.09 to 42.31. According to the industry distribution chart, Jiumaojiu International Holdings ranks #25 out of 254 companies in the Restaurants industry, placing it in the top 9.8%.
Is Jiumaojiu International Holdings' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Jiumaojiu International Holdings' current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 26.26% is 12% above median its 10-year median of 23.47. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 20.09 to a high of 42.31. The Restaurants industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 14.62. Jiumaojiu International Holdings' value of 26.26% is 79.7% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Jiumaojiu International Holdings ranks #25 out of 254 companies in the Restaurants industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Jiumaojiu International Holdings has a GF Score™ of 52/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Jiumaojiu International Holdings' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to MCD and SBUX?
According to the Restaurants industry distribution chart, Jiumaojiu International Holdings ranks #25 out of 254 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places Jiumaojiu International Holdings in the top 10% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 14.62. Jiumaojiu International Holdings' value of 26.26% is 79.7% above this benchmark. Historically, Jiumaojiu International Holdings' own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 20.09 to 42.31 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 23.47 vs. the industry median of 14.62, Jiumaojiu International Holdings has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Restaurants company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Restaurants companies is 14.62, based on 254 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Jiumaojiu International Holdings's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 26.26% is 79.7% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Jiumaojiu International Holdings and its competitors. For the Restaurants industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 14.62 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Jiumaojiu International Holdings's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 26.26%, which is 12% above median its own 10-year median of 23.47. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Jiumaojiu International Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Jiumaojiu International Holdings (JIUMF) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is $0.51, compared to a current price of $0.16 — trading 69.4% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 26.26%, which is 12% above median its 10-year median of 23.47 and 79.7% above the Restaurants industry median of 14.62. Jiumaojiu International Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 52/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Jiumaojiu International Holdings (JIUMF), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 26.26% as of Dec. 2025. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Jiumaojiu International Holdings (JIUMF) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Jiumaojiu International Holdings stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of $0.16 is trading 69.4% below its estimated GF Value™ of $0.51. GuruFocus considers Jiumaojiu International Holdings to be Possible Value Trap.

Key valuation signals for JIUMF:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 26.26% (12% above median its 10-year median of 23.47)
  • GF Value™: $0.51 vs. price of $0.16 (69.4% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 52/100 with 7 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 79.7% above the Restaurants median (#25 of 254)

No single metric tells the full story. See the JIUMF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Jiumaojiu International Holdings Business Description

Other Exchanges 09922:Hong Kong3YU:Germany
Address 4 Zhujiang East Road, Zhujiang Street, Unit 202, Building 2, Jiucheng Technology Innovation Center, Nansha District, Guangzhou, CHN
Jiumaojiu International is a Chinese multibrand restaurant operator. The firm generates most of its revenue from Tai Er, a restaurant chain that is known for its sauerkraut fish (steamed fish smothered in pickled cabbage). Established in 2015, Tai Er is immensely popular, with over 600 outlets in China at the end of 2024 and is frequented particularly by the post-1990s generation.Other key concepts include the namesake brand Jiu Mao Jiu (71 units) and Song Hotpot (80 outlets). The company's portfolio also features other brands such as Lai Mei Li (Chinese grilled fish) and Shanwaimian (Guizhou Hotpot). A large majority of Jiumaojiu's restaurants are company-owned, though the company is currently piloting a franchising business model.
52GF Score

Get the complete analysis for JIUMF

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

$0.16
Price
$0.51
GF Value