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Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Exemplar REITail's forward rate of return for was 20.42%.
The historical rank and industry rank for Exemplar REITail's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
JSE:EXP'
s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 20.17 Med: 20.23 Max: 20.41
Current: 20.33
During the past 11 years, Exemplar REITail's highest Forward Rate of Return was 20.41. The lowest was 20.17. And the median was 20.23.
JSE:EXP's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked
in the REITs industry.
Industry Median: 8.26
vs JSE:EXP: 20.33
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
Exemplar REITail (JSE:EXP) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
Exemplar REITail Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Exemplar REITail Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Exemplar REITail's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Exemplar REITail Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
JSE:EXP vs SPG, O, KIM: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison
For the REIT - Retail subindustry, Exemplar REITail's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Exemplar REITail Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs REITs Industry
For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Exemplar REITail's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Exemplar REITail's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
Exemplar REITail Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 20.42% mean?
Exemplar REITail (JSE:EXP) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 20.42% as of Feb. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Exemplar REITail and its competitors. This is near median its historical median of 20.23. Over the past decade, Exemplar REITail's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 20.17 to 20.41.
Is Exemplar REITail's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Exemplar REITail's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 20.42% is near median its 10-year median of 20.23. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 20.17 to a high of 20.41. The REITs industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 8.26. Exemplar REITail's value of 20.42% is 147.2% above this industry median. Overall, Exemplar REITail has a GF Score™ of 75/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Exemplar REITail's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to SPG and O?
Exemplar REITail's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 20.42% can be compared against companies in the REITs industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 8.26. Exemplar REITail's value of 20.42% is 147.2% above this benchmark. Historically, Exemplar REITail's own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 20.17 to 20.41 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 20.23 vs. the industry median of 8.26, Exemplar REITail has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a REITs company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among REITs companies is 8.26, based on 632 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Exemplar REITail's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 20.42% is 147.2% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Exemplar REITail and its competitors. For the REITs industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 8.26 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Exemplar REITail's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 20.42%, which is near median its own 10-year median of 20.23. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Exemplar REITail stock overvalued right now?
Exemplar REITail (JSE:EXP) has a current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 20.42%. The stock's GF Value™ is R15.90, compared to a current price of R18.00 — trading 13.2% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 20.42%, which is near median its 10-year median of 20.23 and 147.2% above the REITs industry median of 8.26. Exemplar REITail's overall GF Score™ is 75/100 with 4 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Exemplar REITail (JSE:EXP), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 20.42% as of Feb. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Exemplar REITail (JSE:EXP) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Exemplar REITail stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of R18.00 is trading 13.2% above its estimated GF Value™ of R15.90.
Key valuation signals for JSE:EXP:
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 20.42% (near median its 10-year median of 20.23)
GF Value™: R15.90 vs. price of R18.00 (13.2% above fair value)
No single metric tells the full story. See the JSE:EXP stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Exemplar REITail Ltd is a real estate investment trust which develops, owns and manages township and rural retail real estate. The company is the only fund in the country focused purely on retail in under-serviced areas that offers stakeholders investment opportunities. The company's retail segments based on geography consist of Gauteng, Mpumalanga, KwaZulu-Natal, Limpopo, Eastern and Western Cape.
75GF Score
Get the complete analysis for JSE:EXP
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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