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Exemplar REITail (JSE:EXP) Altman Z-Score : 1.38 (As of Dec. 11, 2024)


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What is Exemplar REITail Altman Z-Score?

The Altman Z-Score is a model designed to predict the likelihood of a company going bankrupt within the next two years. Created by American finance professor Edward Altman in 1968, the model is specifically designed for publicly traded manufacturing companies with assets greater than $1 million.

Warning Sign:

Altman Z-score of 1.32 is in distress zone. This implies bankruptcy possibility in the next two years.

Exemplar REITail has a Altman Z-Score of 1.38, indicating it is in Distress Zones. This implies bankrupcy possibility in the next two years.

The zones of discrimination were as such:

When Altman Z-Score <= 1.8, it is in Distress Zones.
When Altman Z-Score >= 3, it is in Safe Zones.
When Altman Z-Score is between 1.8 and 3, it is in Grey Zones.

The historical rank and industry rank for Exemplar REITail's Altman Z-Score or its related term are showing as below:

JSE:EXP' s Altman Z-Score Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.87   Med: 1.34   Max: 1.47
Current: 1.32

During the past 9 years, Exemplar REITail's highest Altman Z-Score was 1.47. The lowest was 0.87. And the median was 1.34.


Exemplar REITail Altman Z-Score Historical Data

The historical data trend for Exemplar REITail's Altman Z-Score can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

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Exemplar REITail Altman Z-Score Chart

Exemplar REITail Annual Data
Trend Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Feb19 Feb20 Feb21 Feb22 Feb23 Feb24
Altman Z-Score
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only 1.33 0.87 1.47 1.44 1.35

Exemplar REITail Semi-Annual Data
Feb15 Feb16 Feb17 Aug17 Aug19 Feb20 Aug20 Feb21 Aug21 Feb22 Aug22 Feb23 Aug23 Feb24 Aug24
Altman Z-Score Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 1.44 - 1.35 -

Competitive Comparison of Exemplar REITail's Altman Z-Score

For the REIT - Retail subindustry, Exemplar REITail's Altman Z-Score, along with its competitors' market caps and Altman Z-Score data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Exemplar REITail's Altman Z-Score Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Exemplar REITail's Altman Z-Score distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Exemplar REITail's Altman Z-Score falls into.



Exemplar REITail Altman Z-Score Calculation

Altman Z-Score model is an accurate forecaster of failure up to two years prior to distress. It can be considered the assessment of the distress of industrial corporations.

Exemplar REITail's Altman Z-Score for today is calculated with this formula:

Z=1.2*X1+1.4*X2+3.3*X3+0.6*X4+1.0*X5
=1.2*-0.0414+1.4*0.1815+3.3*0.12+0.6*1.0778+1.0*0.1361
=1.38

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency. GuruFocus does not calculate Altman Z-Score when X4 or X5 value is 0.

Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) ended in Feb. 2024:
Total Assets was R8,960 Mil.
Total Current Assets was R150 Mil.
Total Current Liabilities was R521 Mil.
Retained Earnings was R1,626 Mil.
Pre-Tax Income was R794 Mil.
Interest Expense was R-282 Mil.
Revenue was R1,220 Mil.
Market Cap (Today) was R4,054 Mil.
Total Liabilities was R3,761 Mil.

* Note that for stock reported semi-annually or annually, GuruFocus uses latest annual data as the TTM data.

X1=Working Capital/Total Assets
=(Total Current Assets - Total Current Liabilities)/Total Assets
=(150.271 - 521.132)/8960.073
=-0.0414

X2=Retained Earnings/Total Assets
=1626.388/8960.073
=0.1815

X3=Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets
=(Pre-Tax Income - Interest Expense)/Total Assets
=(793.993 - -281.594)/8960.073
=0.12

X4=Market Value Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities
=Market Cap/Total Liabilities
=4053.946/3761.239
=1.0778

X5=Revenue/Total Assets
=1219.692/8960.073
=0.1361

The zones of discrimination were as such:

Distress Zones - 1.81 < Grey Zones < 2.99 - Safe Zones

Exemplar REITail has a Altman Z-Score of 1.38 indicating it is in Distress Zones.

Study by Altman found that companies that are in Distress Zone have more than 80% of chances of bankruptcy in two years.


Exemplar REITail  (JSE:EXP) Altman Z-Score Explanation

X1: The Working Capital/Total Assets (WC/TA) ratio is a measure of the net liquid assets of the firm relative to the total capitalization. Working capital is defined as the difference between current assets and current liabilities. Ordinarily, a firm experiencing consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. Altman found this one proved to be the most valuable liquidity ratio comparing with the current ratio and the quick ratio. This is however the least significant of the five factors.

X2: Retained Earnings/Total Assets: the RE/TA ratio measures the leverage of a firm. Retained earnings is the account which reports the total amount of reinvested earnings and/or losses of a firm over its entire life. Those firms with high RE, relative to TA, have financed their assets through retention of profits and have not utilized as much debt.

X3, Earnings Before Interest and Taxes/Total Assets (EBIT/TA): This ratio is a measure of the true productivity of the firm's assets, independent of any tax or leverage factors. Since a firm's ultimate existence is based on the earning power of its assets, this ratio appears to be particularly appropriate for studies dealing with corporate failure. This ratio continually outperforms other profitability measures, including cash flow.

X4, Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Total Liabilities (MVE/TL): The measure shows how much the firm's assets can decline in value (measured by market value of equity plus debt) before the liabilities exceed the assets and the firm becomes insolvent.

X5, Revenue/Total Assets (S/TA): The capital-turnover ratio is a standard financial ratio illustrating the sales generating ability of the firm's assets.

Read more about Altman Z-Score and the original research.


Be Aware

Altman Z-Score does not apply to financial companies.


Exemplar REITail Altman Z-Score Related Terms

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Exemplar REITail Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
204 Von Willich Avenue, Clubview, Centurion, Gauteng, ZAF, 0157
Exemplar REITail Ltd is a real estate investment trust which develops, owns, and manages township and rural retail real estate. The company is the only fund in the country focused purely on retail in under-serviced areas that offers stakeholders a unique investment opportunity.