United Rentals (MEX:URI) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 18.06% (As of Jun. 2026) — Near Median

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
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MEX:URI United Rentals Inc MEX:URI
90 GF Score
Price MXN19,175.00
GF Value MXN15,111.04
Valuation Modestly Overvalued
! 8 Warning Signs
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What is United Rentals Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

United Rentals MEX:URI 90 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 18.06% as of Jun. 2026, which is 1% below its 10-year median of 18.18. GuruFocus rates MEX:URI with a GF Score™ of 90/100 and a GF Value™ of MXN15,111.04 (Modestly Overvalued). The stock has 8 warning signs investors should review. Among 720 Business Services companies, United Rentals ranks better than 61.67% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. United Rentals's forward rate of return for was 18.06%.

The historical rank and industry rank for United Rentals's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

MEX:URI' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 15.14   Med: 18.18   Max: 23.94
Current: 18.05

During the past 13 years, United Rentals's highest Forward Rate of Return was 23.94. The lowest was 15.14. And the median was 18.18.

MEX:URI's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
61.67% of 720 companies
in the Business Services industry
Industry Median: 13.345 vs MEX:URI: 18.05

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


United Rentals  (MEX:URI) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


United Rentals Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


United Rentals Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for United Rentals's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

United Rentals Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

United Rentals Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 17.57 16.62 17.35 19.72 20.40

United Rentals Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 20.97 20.51 20.40 19.87 18.06

MEX:URI vs SUNB, AER, UHAL: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Rental & Leasing Services subindustry, United Rentals's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


United Rentals Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, United Rentals's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where United Rentals's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


MEX:URI
90GF Score
United Rentals Inc MEX:URI
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

United Rentals Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

United Rentals's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2026 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=155.27809524/19660.82+0.1495
=15.74 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 18.06% mean?
United Rentals (MEX:URI) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 18.06% as of Jun. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on United Rentals and its competitors. This is near median its historical median of 18.18. Over the past decade, United Rentals' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 15.14 to 23.94. According to the industry distribution chart, United Rentals ranks #276 out of 720 companies in the Business Services industry, placing it in the top 38.3%.
Is United Rentals' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
United Rentals' current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 18.06% is near median its 10-year median of 18.18. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 15.14 to a high of 23.94. The Business Services industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 13.35. United Rentals' value of 18.06% is 35.3% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, United Rentals ranks #276 out of 720 companies in the Business Services industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, United Rentals has a GF Score™ of 90/100 and is considered Modestly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does United Rentals' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to SUNB and AER?
According to the Business Services industry distribution chart, United Rentals ranks #276 out of 720 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This puts United Rentals in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 13.35. United Rentals' value of 18.06% is 35.3% above this benchmark. Historically, United Rentals' own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 15.14 to 23.94 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 18.18 vs. the industry median of 13.35, United Rentals has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Business Services company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Business Services companies is 13.35, based on 720 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. United Rentals's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 18.06% is 35.3% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on United Rentals and its competitors. For the Business Services industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 13.35 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. United Rentals's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 18.06%, which is near median its own 10-year median of 18.18. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is United Rentals stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, United Rentals (MEX:URI) is currently considered Modestly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is MXN15,111.04, compared to a current price of MXN19,175.00 — trading 26.9% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 18.06%, which is near median its 10-year median of 18.18 and 35.3% above the Business Services industry median of 13.35. United Rentals' overall GF Score™ is 90/100 with 8 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For United Rentals (MEX:URI), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 18.06% as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is United Rentals (MEX:URI) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, United Rentals stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of MXN19,175.00 is trading 26.9% above its estimated GF Value™ of MXN15,111.04. GuruFocus considers United Rentals to be Modestly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for MEX:URI:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 18.06% (near median its 10-year median of 18.18)
  • GF Value™: MXN15,111.04 vs. price of MXN19,175.00 (26.9% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 90/100 with 8 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 35.3% above the Business Services median (#276 of 720)

No single metric tells the full story. See the MEX:URI stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


United Rentals Business Description

Address 100 First Stamford Place, Suite 700, Stamford, CT, USA, 06902
United Rentals is the world's largest equipment rental company, principally operating in the US and Canada. It has 16% share in a highly fragmented market serving general industrial (49%), commercial construction (46%), and residential construction (5%). The company operates a $21 billion fleet of equipment, including aerial platforms, forklifts, excavators, trucks, power generators, and various other materials serving local and national accounts from nearly 1,600 locations in North America and 100 abroad. It has pursued a strategy of bundling specialty rental capabilities to offer its customers more advanced solutions in addition to its core equipment rental business, supporting its ambitions to become a one-stop shop for customers and enhance and maintain its margin profile.
90GF Score

Get the complete analysis for MEX:URI

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

MXN19,175.00
Price
MXN15,111.04
GF Value