Arendals Fossekompani ASA (OSL:AFK) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 15.64% (As of Jun. 2026) — 120% Above Median

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
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Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

OSL:AFK Arendals Fossekompani ASA OSL:AFK
65 GF Score
Price kr184.00
GF Value kr126.64
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 7 Warning Signs
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What is Arendals Fossekompani ASA Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Arendals Fossekompani ASA OSL:AFK -2.65% 65 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 15.64% as of Jun. 2026, which is 120% above its 10-year median of 7.12. GuruFocus rates OSL:AFK with a GF Score™ of 65/100 and a GF Value™ of kr126.64 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 7 warning signs investors should review. Among 421 Conglomerates companies, Arendals Fossekompani ASA ranks better than 57.96% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Arendals Fossekompani ASA's forward rate of return for was 15.64%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Arendals Fossekompani ASA's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

OSL:AFK' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -12.41   Med: 7.12   Max: 20.53
Current: 15.7

During the past 13 years, Arendals Fossekompani ASA's highest Forward Rate of Return was 20.53. The lowest was -12.41. And the median was 7.12.

OSL:AFK's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
57.96% of 421 companies
in the Conglomerates industry
Industry Median: 12.78 vs OSL:AFK: 15.70

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Arendals Fossekompani ASA  (OSL:AFK) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Arendals Fossekompani ASA Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Arendals Fossekompani ASA Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Arendals Fossekompani ASA's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Arendals Fossekompani ASA Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Arendals Fossekompani ASA Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -1.62 8.01 12.70 19.28 18.97

Arendals Fossekompani ASA Quarterly Data
Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Dec24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 17.89 18.44 18.97 18.44 15.64

OSL:AFK vs MMM, HON: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Conglomerates subindustry, Arendals Fossekompani ASA's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Arendals Fossekompani ASA Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Conglomerates Industry

For the Conglomerates industry and Industrials sector, Arendals Fossekompani ASA's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Arendals Fossekompani ASA's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


OSL:AFK
65GF Score
Arendals Fossekompani ASA OSL:AFK
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Arendals Fossekompani ASA Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Arendals Fossekompani ASA's Forward Rate of Return of Jun. 2026 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=-1.4592381/175+0.1647
=15.64 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 15.64% mean?
Arendals Fossekompani ASA (OSL:AFK) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 15.64% as of Jun. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Arendals Fossekompani ASA and its competitors. This is 120% above median its historical median of 7.12. According to the industry distribution chart, Arendals Fossekompani ASA ranks #177 out of 421 companies in the Conglomerates industry, placing it in the top 42%.
Is Arendals Fossekompani ASA's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Arendals Fossekompani ASA's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 15.64% is 120% above median its 10-year median of 7.12. The Conglomerates industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 12.78. Arendals Fossekompani ASA's value of 15.64% is 22.4% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Arendals Fossekompani ASA ranks #177 out of 421 companies in the Conglomerates industry, which is above the industry midpoint. Overall, Arendals Fossekompani ASA has a GF Score™ of 65/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Arendals Fossekompani ASA's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to MMM and HON?
According to the Conglomerates industry distribution chart, Arendals Fossekompani ASA ranks #177 out of 421 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This puts Arendals Fossekompani ASA in the upper half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 12.78. Arendals Fossekompani ASA's value of 15.64% is 22.4% above this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 7.12 vs. the industry median of 12.78, Arendals Fossekompani ASA has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Conglomerates company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Conglomerates companies is 12.78, based on 421 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Arendals Fossekompani ASA's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 15.64% is 22.4% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Arendals Fossekompani ASA and its competitors. For the Conglomerates industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 12.78 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Arendals Fossekompani ASA's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 15.64%, which is 120% above median its own 10-year median of 7.12. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Arendals Fossekompani ASA stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Arendals Fossekompani ASA (OSL:AFK) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is kr126.64, compared to a current price of kr184.00 — trading 45.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 15.64%, which is 120% above median its 10-year median of 7.12 and 22.4% above the Conglomerates industry median of 12.78. Arendals Fossekompani ASA's overall GF Score™ is 65/100 with 7 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Arendals Fossekompani ASA (OSL:AFK), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 15.64% as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Arendals Fossekompani ASA (OSL:AFK) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Arendals Fossekompani ASA stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of kr184.00 is trading 45.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of kr126.64. GuruFocus considers Arendals Fossekompani ASA to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for OSL:AFK:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 15.64% (120% above median its 10-year median of 7.12)
  • GF Value™: kr126.64 vs. price of kr184.00 (45.3% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 65/100 with 7 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 22.4% above the Conglomerates median (#177 of 421)

No single metric tells the full story. See the OSL:AFK stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Arendals Fossekompani ASA Business Description

Address Langbryggen 9, Arendal, NOR, 4841
Arendals Fossekompani ASA is an industrial investment company holding several core investments and a portfolio of financial investments. The company invests in and owns companies that make energy from renewable sources more usable and accessible, and that contribute to a more sustainable use of resources. It owns and operates two hydropower plants. In addition, the firm operates globally in many forward-looking industries, including 3D printing, algo trading, satellite services, battery and solar technology, software and digitalization, as well as various green energy technologies. The company has seven operating segments: Group Management, AFK Vannkraft, NSSLGIobaI, ENRX, Tekna, AFK Eiendom, and Others.
65GF Score

Get the complete analysis for OSL:AFK

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

kr184.00
Price
kr126.64
GF Value