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RCI Hospitality HoldingsRICK -2.14%70 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.67% as of Jun. 2026, which is 93% below its 10-year median of 9.98. GuruFocus rates RICK with a GF Score™ of 70/100 and a GF Value™ of $53.82 (Possible Value Trap). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 252 Restaurants companies, RCI Hospitality Holdings ranks worse than 74.21% on this metric.
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. RCI Hospitality Holdings's forward rate of return for was 0.67%.
The historical rank and industry rank for RCI Hospitality Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
RICK'
s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -5.84 Med: 9.98 Max: 29.94
Current: -0.62
During the past 13 years, RCI Hospitality Holdings's highest Forward Rate of Return was 29.94. The lowest was -5.84. And the median was 9.98.
RICK's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than 74.21% of 252
companies
in the Restaurants industry
Industry Median: 14.24
vs RICK: -0.62
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
RCI Hospitality Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
RCI Hospitality Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for RCI Hospitality Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
RCI Hospitality Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
RICK vs BRCB, VENU, RRGB: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison
For the Restaurants subindustry, RCI Hospitality Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
RCI Hospitality Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Restaurants Industry
For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, RCI Hospitality Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where RCI Hospitality Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
RCI Hospitality Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 0.67% mean?
RCI Hospitality Holdings (RICK) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 0.67% as of Jun. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on RCI Hospitality Holdings and its competitors. This is 93% below median its historical median of 9.98. According to the industry distribution chart, RCI Hospitality Holdings ranks #187 out of 252 companies in the Restaurants industry, placing it in the top 74.2%.
Is RCI Hospitality Holdings' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
RCI Hospitality Holdings' current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 0.67% is 93% below median its 10-year median of 9.98. The Restaurants industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 14.24. RCI Hospitality Holdings' value of 0.67% is 95.3% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, RCI Hospitality Holdings ranks #187 out of 252 companies in the Restaurants industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, RCI Hospitality Holdings has a GF Score™ of 70/100 and is considered Possible Value Trap, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does RCI Hospitality Holdings' Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to BRCB and VENU?
According to the Restaurants industry distribution chart, RCI Hospitality Holdings ranks #187 out of 252 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places RCI Hospitality Holdings in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 14.24. RCI Hospitality Holdings' value of 0.67% is 95.3% below this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 9.98 vs. the industry median of 14.24, RCI Hospitality Holdings has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Restaurants company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Restaurants companies is 14.24, based on 252 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. RCI Hospitality Holdings's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 0.67% is 95.3% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on RCI Hospitality Holdings and its competitors. For the Restaurants industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 14.24 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. RCI Hospitality Holdings's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.67%, which is 93% below median its own 10-year median of 9.98. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is RCI Hospitality Holdings stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, RCI Hospitality Holdings (RICK) is currently considered Possible Value Trap. The stock's GF Value™ is $53.82, compared to a current price of $29.65 — trading 44.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.67%, which is 93% below median its 10-year median of 9.98 and 95.3% below the Restaurants industry median of 14.24. RCI Hospitality Holdings' overall GF Score™ is 70/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For RCI Hospitality Holdings (RICK), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 0.67% as of Jun. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is RCI Hospitality Holdings (RICK) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, RCI Hospitality Holdings stock appears to be undervalued.
The current stock price of $29.65 is trading 44.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of $53.82.
GuruFocus considers RCI Hospitality Holdings to be Possible Value Trap.
Key valuation signals for RICK:
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 0.67% (93% below median its 10-year median of 9.98)
GF Value™: $53.82 vs. price of $29.65 (44.9% below fair value)
Industry Position: 95.3% below the Restaurants median (#187 of 252)
No single metric tells the full story. See the RICK stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
RCI Hospitality Holdings Inc through its subsidiaries, owns and operates establishments that offer live adult entertainment, restaurant, and or bar operations. It also owns and operates a communication company serving the adult nightclub industry. The company's operating business segments are Nightclubs, Bombshells, and Others. It operates nightclubs through the following brands Rick's Cabaret, Vivid Cabaret, Tootsie's Cabaret, Club Onyx, and Jaguars Club. In the Bombshells segment, the company is building a chain of Restaurants and Sports Bars in Dallas, Austin, and Houston, Texas. It derives the majority of revenue from the Nightclubs segment that engages in the sale of alcoholic beverages, food, and merchandise items; service in the form of cover charges, and room rentals.
70GF Score
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