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Tokyo Ohka Kogyo CoTOKCF -26.57%85 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 19.38% as of Dec. 2025, which is 24% above its 10-year median of 15.67. GuruFocus rates TOKCF with a GF Score™ of 85/100 and a GF Value™ of $32.06 (Significantly Overvalued). Among 1,716 Hardware companies, Tokyo Ohka Kogyo Co ranks better than 80.24% on this metric.
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Tokyo Ohka Kogyo Co's forward rate of return for was 19.38%.
The historical rank and industry rank for Tokyo Ohka Kogyo Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
TOKCF'
s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -4.53 Med: 15.67 Max: 22.98
Current: 18.86
During the past 13 years, Tokyo Ohka Kogyo Co's highest Forward Rate of Return was 22.98. The lowest was -4.53. And the median was 15.67.
TOKCF's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than 80.24% of 1716
companies
in the Hardware industry
Industry Median: 4.485
vs TOKCF: 18.86
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
Tokyo Ohka Kogyo Co (OTCPK:TOKCF) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
Tokyo Ohka Kogyo Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Tokyo Ohka Kogyo Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
* Premium members only.
The historical data trend for Tokyo Ohka Kogyo Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Tokyo Ohka Kogyo Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
TOKCF vs APH, GLW, TEL: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison
For the Electronic Components subindustry, Tokyo Ohka Kogyo Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Tokyo Ohka Kogyo Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Hardware Industry
For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Tokyo Ohka Kogyo Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Tokyo Ohka Kogyo Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
Tokyo Ohka Kogyo Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 19.38% mean?
Tokyo Ohka Kogyo Co (TOKCF) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 19.38% as of Dec. 2025. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Tokyo Ohka Kogyo Co and its competitors. This is 24% above median its historical median of 15.67. According to the industry distribution chart, Tokyo Ohka Kogyo Co ranks #339 out of 1716 companies in the Hardware industry, placing it in the top 19.8%.
Is Tokyo Ohka Kogyo Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Tokyo Ohka Kogyo Co's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 19.38% is 24% above median its 10-year median of 15.67. The Hardware industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 4.49. Tokyo Ohka Kogyo Co's value of 19.38% is 332.1% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Tokyo Ohka Kogyo Co ranks #339 out of 1716 companies in the Hardware industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Tokyo Ohka Kogyo Co has a GF Score™ of 85/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Tokyo Ohka Kogyo Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to APH and GLW?
According to the Hardware industry distribution chart, Tokyo Ohka Kogyo Co ranks #339 out of 1716 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places Tokyo Ohka Kogyo Co in the top 20% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 4.49. Tokyo Ohka Kogyo Co's value of 19.38% is 332.1% above this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 15.67 vs. the industry median of 4.49, Tokyo Ohka Kogyo Co has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Hardware company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Hardware companies is 4.49, based on 1,716 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Tokyo Ohka Kogyo Co's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 19.38% is 332.1% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Tokyo Ohka Kogyo Co and its competitors. For the Hardware industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 4.49 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Tokyo Ohka Kogyo Co's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 19.38%, which is 24% above median its own 10-year median of 15.67. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Tokyo Ohka Kogyo Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Tokyo Ohka Kogyo Co (TOKCF) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is $32.06, compared to a current price of $52.67 — trading 64.3% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 19.38%, which is 24% above median its 10-year median of 15.67 and 332.1% above the Hardware industry median of 4.49. Tokyo Ohka Kogyo Co's overall GF Score™ is 85/100. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Tokyo Ohka Kogyo Co (TOKCF), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 19.38% as of Dec. 2025. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Tokyo Ohka Kogyo Co (TOKCF) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Tokyo Ohka Kogyo Co stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of $52.67 is trading 64.3% above its estimated GF Value™ of $32.06.
GuruFocus considers Tokyo Ohka Kogyo Co to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for TOKCF:
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 19.38% (24% above median its 10-year median of 15.67)
GF Value™: $32.06 vs. price of $52.67 (64.3% above fair value)
Industry Position: 332.1% above the Hardware median (#339 of 1716)
No single metric tells the full story. See the TOKCF stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Tokyo Ohka Kogyo Co Ltd is a Japan-based company that manufactures functional materials and processing equipment. The processing equipment sold by the firm is mainly used in the manufacturing of semiconductors and liquid crystal display products. The materials used in the manufacturing of these products are also sold by the company, particularly for the photolithography process. The firm also sells inorganic and organic chemicals.
85GF Score
Get the complete analysis for TOKCF
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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