Advantage Risk Management Co (TSE:8769) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 20.00% (As of Mar. 2026) — 242% Above Median

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TSE:8769 Advantage Risk Management Co Ltd TSE:8769
85 GF Score
Price 円520.00
GF Value 円811.53
Valuation Significantly Undervalued
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is Advantage Risk Management Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Advantage Risk Management Co TSE:8769 +3.17% 85 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 20.00% as of Mar. 2026, which is 242% above its 10-year median of 5.84. GuruFocus rates TSE:8769 with a GF Score™ of 85/100 and a GF Value™ of 円811.53 (Significantly Undervalued). The stock has 1 warning sign investors should review. Among 339 Healthcare Providers & Services companies, Advantage Risk Management Co ranks better than 88.5% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Advantage Risk Management Co's forward rate of return for was 20.00%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Advantage Risk Management Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

TSE:8769' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -17.53   Med: 5.84   Max: 25.91
Current: 24.73

During the past 13 years, Advantage Risk Management Co's highest Forward Rate of Return was 25.91. The lowest was -17.53. And the median was 5.84.

TSE:8769's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
88.5% of 339 companies
in the Healthcare Providers & Services industry
Industry Median: 12.54 vs TSE:8769: 24.73

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Advantage Risk Management Co  (TSE:8769) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Advantage Risk Management Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Advantage Risk Management Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Advantage Risk Management Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Advantage Risk Management Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Advantage Risk Management Co Annual Data
Trend Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23 Mar24 Mar25 Mar26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.09 5.41 13.13 17.98 35.73

Advantage Risk Management Co Quarterly Data
Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24 Jun24 Sep24 Mar25 Jun25 Sep25 Dec25 Mar26 Jun26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 14.01 18.41 20.00 20.00 20.00

TSE:8769 vs HCA, THC, EHC: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Medical Care Facilities subindustry, Advantage Risk Management Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Advantage Risk Management Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Advantage Risk Management Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Advantage Risk Management Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


TSE:8769
85GF Score
Advantage Risk Management Co Ltd TSE:8769
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Advantage Risk Management Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Advantage Risk Management Co's Forward Rate of Return of Mar. 2026 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=71.90366667/457+0.2
=35.73 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 20.00% mean?
Advantage Risk Management Co (TSE:8769) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 20.00% as of Mar. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Advantage Risk Management Co and its competitors. This is 242% above median its historical median of 5.84. According to the industry distribution chart, Advantage Risk Management Co ranks #39 out of 339 companies in the Healthcare Providers & Services industry, placing it in the top 11.5%.
Is Advantage Risk Management Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Advantage Risk Management Co's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 20.00% is 242% above median its 10-year median of 5.84. The Healthcare Providers & Services industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 12.54. Advantage Risk Management Co's value of 20.00% is 59.5% above this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Advantage Risk Management Co ranks #39 out of 339 companies in the Healthcare Providers & Services industry, which is in the top quartile — a strong position relative to peers. Overall, Advantage Risk Management Co has a GF Score™ of 85/100 and is considered Significantly Undervalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Advantage Risk Management Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to HCA and THC?
According to the Healthcare Providers & Services industry distribution chart, Advantage Risk Management Co ranks #39 out of 339 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places Advantage Risk Management Co in the top 12% of its industry — outperforming the majority of peers. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 12.54. Advantage Risk Management Co's value of 20.00% is 59.5% above this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 5.84 vs. the industry median of 12.54, Advantage Risk Management Co has consistently been above the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Healthcare Providers & Services company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Healthcare Providers & Services companies is 12.54, based on 339 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Advantage Risk Management Co's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 20.00% is 59.5% above the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Advantage Risk Management Co and its competitors. For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 12.54 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Advantage Risk Management Co's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 20.00%, which is 242% above median its own 10-year median of 5.84. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Advantage Risk Management Co stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Advantage Risk Management Co (TSE:8769) is currently considered Significantly Undervalued. The stock's GF Value™ is 円811.53, compared to a current price of 円520.00 — trading 35.9% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 20.00%, which is 242% above median its 10-year median of 5.84 and 59.5% above the Healthcare Providers & Services industry median of 12.54. Advantage Risk Management Co's overall GF Score™ is 85/100 with 1 warning sign to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Advantage Risk Management Co (TSE:8769), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 20.00% as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Advantage Risk Management Co (TSE:8769) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Advantage Risk Management Co stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of 円520.00 is trading 35.9% below its estimated GF Value™ of 円811.53. GuruFocus considers Advantage Risk Management Co to be Significantly Undervalued.

Key valuation signals for TSE:8769:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 20.00% (242% above median its 10-year median of 5.84)
  • GF Value™: 円811.53 vs. price of 円520.00 (35.9% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 85/100 with 1 warning sign
  • Industry Position: 59.5% above the Healthcare Providers & Services median (#39 of 339)

No single metric tells the full story. See the TSE:8769 stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Advantage Risk Management Co Business Description

Address Nakameguro GT Tower 17F, Tokyo, JPN, 153-0051
Advantage Risk Management Co Ltd provides mental health management services, disability support services, and risk financing services.
85GF Score

Get the complete analysis for TSE:8769

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

円520.00
Price
円811.53
GF Value