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Compagnie Financiere RichemontXSWX:CFR -0.36%97 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 12.70% as of Mar. 2026, which is 8% above its 10-year median of 11.73. GuruFocus rates XSWX:CFR with a GF Score™ of 97/100 and a GF Value™ of CHF148.41 (Significantly Overvalued). The stock has 6 warning signs investors should review. Among 793 Retail - Cyclical companies, Compagnie Financiere Richemont ranks worse than 53.22% on this metric.
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Compagnie Financiere Richemont's forward rate of return for was 12.70%.
The historical rank and industry rank for Compagnie Financiere Richemont's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
XSWX:CFR'
s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -2.02 Med: 11.73 Max: 20.37
Current: 11.46
During the past 13 years, Compagnie Financiere Richemont's highest Forward Rate of Return was 20.37. The lowest was -2.02. And the median was 11.73.
XSWX:CFR's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than 53.22% of 793
companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 12.71
vs XSWX:CFR: 11.46
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
Compagnie Financiere Richemont Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Compagnie Financiere Richemont Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Compagnie Financiere Richemont Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
XSWX:CFR vs TPR, SIG: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison
For the Luxury Goods subindustry, Compagnie Financiere Richemont's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Compagnie Financiere Richemont Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Retail - Cyclical Industry
For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Compagnie Financiere Richemont's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Compagnie Financiere Richemont's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
Compagnie Financiere Richemont Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 12.70% mean?
Compagnie Financiere Richemont (XSWX:CFR) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 12.70% as of Mar. 2026. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Compagnie Financiere Richemont and its competitors. This is near median its historical median of 11.73. According to the industry distribution chart, Compagnie Financiere Richemont ranks #422 out of 793 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, placing it in the top 53.2%.
Is Compagnie Financiere Richemont's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Compagnie Financiere Richemont's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 12.70% is near median its 10-year median of 11.73. The Retail - Cyclical industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 12.71. Compagnie Financiere Richemont's value of 12.70% is 0.1% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Compagnie Financiere Richemont ranks #422 out of 793 companies in the Retail - Cyclical industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Compagnie Financiere Richemont has a GF Score™ of 97/100 and is considered Significantly Overvalued, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Compagnie Financiere Richemont's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to TPR and SIG?
According to the Retail - Cyclical industry distribution chart, Compagnie Financiere Richemont ranks #422 out of 793 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places Compagnie Financiere Richemont in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 12.71. Compagnie Financiere Richemont's value of 12.70% is 0.1% below this benchmark. While the company's 10-year median is 11.73 vs. the industry median of 12.71, Compagnie Financiere Richemont has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Retail - Cyclical company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Retail - Cyclical companies is 12.71, based on 793 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Compagnie Financiere Richemont's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 12.70% is 0.1% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Compagnie Financiere Richemont and its competitors. For the Retail - Cyclical industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 12.71 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Compagnie Financiere Richemont's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 12.70%, which is near median its own 10-year median of 11.73. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Compagnie Financiere Richemont stock overvalued right now?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Compagnie Financiere Richemont (XSWX:CFR) is currently considered Significantly Overvalued. The stock's GF Value™ is CHF148.41, compared to a current price of CHF195.45 — trading 31.7% above its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 12.70%, which is near median its 10-year median of 11.73 and 0.1% below the Retail - Cyclical industry median of 12.71. Compagnie Financiere Richemont's overall GF Score™ is 97/100 with 6 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Compagnie Financiere Richemont (XSWX:CFR), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 12.70% as of Mar. 2026. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.
Is Compagnie Financiere Richemont (XSWX:CFR) Overvalued in 2026?
Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Compagnie Financiere Richemont stock appears to be overvalued.
The current stock price of CHF195.45 is trading 31.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of CHF148.41.
GuruFocus considers Compagnie Financiere Richemont to be Significantly Overvalued.
Key valuation signals for XSWX:CFR:
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 12.70% (near median its 10-year median of 11.73)
GF Value™: CHF148.41 vs. price of CHF195.45 (31.7% above fair value)
Industry Position: 0.1% below the Retail - Cyclical median (#422 of 793)
No single metric tells the full story. See the XSWX:CFR stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.
Richemont is a luxury goods conglomerate with 20 brands. Jewelry and watch brands make up 87% of sales, but the group is also active in accessories, writing instruments, clothing, and online luxury retail. Richemont's Jewellery Maisons, including Cartier and Van Cleef & Arpels, account for over 70% of revenue and the vast majority of profits. Its other brands include Vacheron Constantin, Piaget, Jaeger-LeCoultre, IWC Schaffhausen, Lange & Soehne, Officine Panerai, Chloe, and Montblanc.
97GF Score
Get the complete analysis for XSWX:CFR
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.
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