Sanofi (XSWX:SAN) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 1.37% (As of Dec. 2025) — 78% Below Median

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Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
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XSWX:SAN Sanofi SA XSWX:SAN
91 GF Score
Price CHF73.20
GF Value CHF103.32
! 2 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Sanofi Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Sanofi XSWX:SAN 91 Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 1.37% as of Dec. 2025, which is 78% below its 10-year median of 6.25. GuruFocus rates XSWX:SAN with a GF Score™ of 91/100 and a GF Value™ of CHF103.32. The stock has 2 warning signs investors should review. Among 634 Drug Manufacturers companies, Sanofi ranks worse than 60.25% on this metric.

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Sanofi's forward rate of return for was 1.37%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Sanofi's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

XSWX:SAN' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.23   Med: 6.25   Max: 15.75
Current: 2.04

During the past 13 years, Sanofi's highest Forward Rate of Return was 15.75. The lowest was 1.23. And the median was 6.25.

XSWX:SAN's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked worse than
60.25% of 634 companies
in the Drug Manufacturers industry
Industry Median: 6.375 vs XSWX:SAN: 2.04

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Sanofi  (XSWX:SAN) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Sanofi Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms


Sanofi Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

* Premium members only.

The historical data trend for Sanofi's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Sanofi Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Sanofi Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23 Dec24 Dec25
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 13.95 14.19 9.61 2.90 1.37

Sanofi Semi-Annual Data
Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23 Jun24 Dec24 Jun25 Dec25 Jun26
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.00 2.90 0.00 1.37 0.00

XSWX:SAN vs LLY, JNJ, ABBV: Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Comparison

For the Drug Manufacturers - General subindustry, Sanofi's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Sanofi Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % vs Drug Manufacturers Industry

For the Drug Manufacturers industry and Healthcare sector, Sanofi's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sanofi's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.


XSWX:SAN
91GF Score
Sanofi SA XSWX:SAN
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Sanofi Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Sanofi's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2025 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=5.59816667/0+-0.0844
=0 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

What does a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 1.37% mean?
Sanofi (XSWX:SAN) has a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 1.37% as of Dec. 2025. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Sanofi and its competitors. This is 78% below median its historical median of 6.25. Over the past decade, Sanofi's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 1.23 to 15.75. According to the industry distribution chart, Sanofi ranks #382 out of 634 companies in the Drug Manufacturers industry, placing it in the top 60.3%.
Is Sanofi's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % too high?
Sanofi's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 1.37% is 78% below median its 10-year median of 6.25. Over the past 10 years, this metric has ranged from a low of 1.23 to a high of 15.75. The Drug Manufacturers industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.38. Sanofi's value of 1.37% is 78.5% below this industry median. Based on the distribution chart, Sanofi ranks #382 out of 634 companies in the Drug Manufacturers industry, which is below the industry midpoint. Overall, Sanofi has a GF Score™ of 91/100, reflecting its overall financial health beyond just this single metric.
How does Sanofi's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % compare to LLY and JNJ?
According to the Drug Manufacturers industry distribution chart, Sanofi ranks #382 out of 634 companies for Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %. This places Sanofi in the lower half of its industry. The industry median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.38. Sanofi's value of 1.37% is 78.5% below this benchmark. Historically, Sanofi's own Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % has ranged from 1.23 to 15.75 over the past decade. While the company's 10-year median is 6.25 vs. the industry median of 6.38, Sanofi has consistently been below the industry average. See the competitive comparison table and distribution chart on this page for a detailed peer-by-peer breakdown.
What is a good Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % for a Drug Manufacturers company?
The median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % among Drug Manufacturers companies is 6.38, based on 634 companies in the industry. Companies in the top quartile (top 25%) have a Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % significantly above this median, while those in the bottom quartile fall well below. However, Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % should not be evaluated in isolation — investors should consider it alongside profitability, growth, and financial strength metrics. Sanofi's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 1.37% is 78.5% below the industry median. Use the industry distribution chart on this page to see where any company falls relative to its peers.
What does a high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % mean?
A high Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can signal that a stock is expensive relative to its fundamentals. Yacktman's forward rate of return equals the sum of normalized free-cash-flow yield plus earnings growth. View historical data on Sanofi and its competitors. For the Drug Manufacturers industry, the median Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 6.38 — values significantly above this may indicate overvaluation, while values below may suggest a bargain or underlying issues. Sanofi's current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 1.37%, which is 78% below median its own 10-year median of 6.25. However, context matters — high-growth companies often justify higher valuations. Always evaluate alongside other metrics like GF Score™ and GF Value™.
Is Sanofi stock overvalued right now?
Sanofi (XSWX:SAN) has a current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % of 1.37%. The stock's GF Value™ is CHF103.32, compared to a current price of CHF73.20 — trading 29.2% below its estimated fair value. The current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 1.37%, which is 78% below median its 10-year median of 6.25 and 78.5% below the Drug Manufacturers industry median of 6.38. Sanofi's overall GF Score™ is 91/100 with 2 warning signs to review. Investors should evaluate multiple metrics — including profitability, growth, and financial strength — before making a decision.
How is Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % calculated?
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is calculated from a company's financial statements. For Sanofi (XSWX:SAN), the current Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is 1.37% as of Dec. 2025. GuruFocus calculates this using data sourced from SEC filings and annual reports. See the calculation section and 30-year financial data on this page for the full breakdown.

Is Sanofi (XSWX:SAN) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Sanofi stock appears to be undervalued. The current stock price of CHF73.20 is trading 29.2% below its estimated GF Value™ of CHF103.32.

Key valuation signals for XSWX:SAN:

  • Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %: 1.37% (78% below median its 10-year median of 6.25)
  • GF Value™: CHF103.32 vs. price of CHF73.20 (29.2% below fair value)
  • GF Score™: 91/100 with 2 warning signs
  • Industry Position: 78.5% below the Drug Manufacturers median (#382 of 634)

No single metric tells the full story. See the XSWX:SAN stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.


Sanofi Business Description

Address 46, Avenue de la Great Army, Paris, FRA, 75017
Sanofi develops and markets drugs with a concentration in immunology, vaccines, and rare diseases. Although the company offers a diverse array of drugs, its highest revenue generator, Dupixent, accounts for over 30% of total sales. Profits for this immunology blockbuster drug are shared with Regeneron. About 45% of total revenue comes from the United States, 20% from Europe, and 6% from China.
91GF Score

Get the complete analysis for XSWX:SAN

Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

CHF73.20
Price
CHF103.32
GF Value