Austal (ASX:ASB) Risk Assessment


ASX:ASB Austal Ltd ASX:ASB
73 GF Score
Price A$4.09
GF Value A$3.11
Valuation Significantly Overvalued
! 4 Warning Signs
View Full Analysis

What is Austal Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Austal is: Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock.

Austal  (ASX:ASB) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

Austal Risk Assessment Related Terms

ASX:ASB vs SPCX, GE, RTX: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, Austal's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Austal Risk Assessment vs Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, Austal's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Austal's Risk Assessment falls into.


ASX:ASB
73GF Score
Austal Ltd ASX:ASB
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
View Full Analysis

Is Austal (ASX:ASB) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Austal stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of A$4.09 is trading 31.5% above its estimated GF Value™ of A$3.11. GuruFocus considers Austal to be Significantly Overvalued.

Key valuation signals for ASX:ASB:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: A$3.11 vs. price of A$4.09 (31.5% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 73/100 with 4 warning signs

No single metric tells the full story. See the ASX:ASB stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Austal Business Description

Other Exchanges AUTLF:USALX6:Germany
Address 100 Clarence Beach Road, Henderson, Perth, WA, AUS, 6166
Austal Ltd is engaged in designing, constructing, and supporting revolutionary defense and commercial vessels. The company designs, constructs, and supports passenger ferries, vehicle passenger ferries, and offshore and windfarm vessels; naval vessels; naval surface warfare combatants; and patrol boats for government law enforcement and border protection agencies. Its reportable segments are USA Shipbuilding; USA Support; Australasia Shipbuilding and Australasia Support. Maximum revenue is generated from its USA Shipbuilding segment which manufactures high performance defence vessels for U.S. Navy and Coast Guard. Geographically, the company derives a majority of its revenue from the United States of America and the rest from Australia, Europe, Asia, South America, and the Middle East.
73GF Score

Get the complete analysis for ASX:ASB

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

A$4.09
Price
A$3.11
GF Value