Ryanair Holdings (CHIX:RYAI) Risk Assessment

Author: Vera Yuan Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Vera Yuan
Director of Data and Quant Analytics at GuruFocus
Focused on building reliable datasets, financial models, and research tools for value-minded investors. Committed to turning complex data into practical guidance for value-investing and long-term wealth.
Reviewed by: Charlie Tian Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Charlie Tian
Founder & CEO of GuruFocus
Dr. Charlie Tian is the founder and CEO of GuruFocus.com, a leading global investment research platform established in 2004. With a Ph.D. in physics, Dr. Tian transitioned from science to finance, applying a data-driven, disciplined approach to value investing.

CHIX:RYAI Ryanair Holdings PLC CHIX:RYAI
89 GF Score
Price €26.33
GF Value €25.15
Valuation Fairly Valued
! 1 Warning Sign
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What is Ryanair Holdings Risk Assessment?

Risk Assessment represents the investment risk of a stock derived from our exclusive method. It suggests how risky the investment opportunity is based on the valuation and the fundamental performance of the stock. It is derived from following key aspects:

1. GuruFocus internally developed valuations of the stock, such as GF valuation.
2. Quality Rank, a business quality indicator developed by GuruFocus.
3. Fundamental performance: Piotroski F-Score, Altman Z-Score, Beneish M-Score, etc.
4. Growth opportunities: 5-year revenue growth rate, 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate, etc.

Value investors are always willing to find undervalued stocks. However, not all the undervalued stocks are good deals, we should also be careful of how risky the investment opportunity is. We believe that if the company's financial strength and profitability are strong, and the stock price is within a reasonable range of the GF valuation, or stock has a high return with its price being undervalued, then it might be a good investment opportunity with low risk.

Based on those aspects listed above, GuruFocus believes the risk assessment of Ryanair Holdings is: Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding.

Ryanair Holdings  (CHIX:RYAi) Risk Assessment Explanation

Based on the four aspects listed above, GuruFocus provides the following 7 evaluations:

All-in-One Screener Examples (1)
Low Risk: Strong fundamentals, worth long-term holding
Moderate Risk: Sensitive, better choose undervalued stock
High Risk: High uncertainty with risk-return tradeoff
High Risk: Good fundamentals, beware of shrinking business
High Risk: Sensitive to economic or industry trends
High Risk: High uncertainty
No Data: Cannot be evaluated

(1) These are some simple examples. You can access our Risk Assessment filter under All-in-One Screener’s Fundamental tab and set your own criteria.

Ryanair Holdings Risk Assessment Related Terms

CHIX:RYAI vs DAL, UAL, LUV: Risk Assessment Comparison

For the Airlines subindustry, Ryanair Holdings's Risk Assessment, along with its competitors' market caps and Risk Assessment data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Ryanair Holdings Risk Assessment vs Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Ryanair Holdings's Risk Assessment distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ryanair Holdings's Risk Assessment falls into.


CHIX:RYAI
89GF Score
Ryanair Holdings PLC CHIX:RYAI
Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Score™, valuation, warning signs, and more.
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Is Ryanair Holdings (CHIX:RYAI) Overvalued in 2026?

Based on GuruFocus' analysis, Ryanair Holdings stock appears to be overvalued. The current stock price of €26.33 is trading 4.7% above its estimated GF Value™ of €25.15. GuruFocus considers Ryanair Holdings to be Fairly Valued.

Key valuation signals for CHIX:RYAI:

  • Risk Assessment:
  • GF Value™: €25.15 vs. price of €26.33 (4.7% above fair value)
  • GF Score™: 89/100 with 1 warning sign

No single metric tells the full story. See the CHIX:RYAI stock analysis page for a complete view including 30-year financials, guru trades, and insider activity.

Ryanair Holdings Business Description

Address Airside Business Park, Swords, County Dublin, Dublin, IRL, K67 NY94
Ryanair is Europe's largest low-cost airline, known for its extensive network and highly efficient business model. Operating over 3,600 flights daily across 240-plus destinations in 40 countries, Ryanair has built its success on offering affordable air travel while maintaining tight control over costs. The airline primarily uses Boeing 737 aircraft, including the newer 737 8-200 "Gamechanger" variant, which simplifies operations and reduces expenses. Ryanair focuses on high passenger volume, ancillary revenue, and operational efficiency, ensuring its position as a leading airline in Europe.
89GF Score

Get the complete analysis for CHIX:RYAI

Risk Assessment is just one metric. See GF Value™, 30-year financials, guru trades, warning signs, and more.

€26.33
Price
€25.15
GF Value